Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction: Preview and Key Stats

Liverpool host Brentford at Anfield on 24 May 2026 in the final round of the Premier League regular season, with both sides looking to sign off on a demanding campaign in style. Under referee D. England, this Round 38 clash in Liverpool promises intensity and goals, given how these teams have approached the league so far.

The season record shows Liverpool sitting 5th on 59 points, in the Champions League (League phase) zone, and looking to lock in a strong finish after an inconsistent run-in. Brentford arrive 9th with 52 points, safely in mid-table but still with the opportunity to climb and underline their progress with a statement away result at one of the league’s toughest venues.

Stats suggest a tight contest between two sides with similar defensive records but slightly different attacking profiles. With Liverpool vs Brentford prediction markets pricing the hosts as clear favourites and Liverpool vs Brentford betting odds heavily tilted towards a home win, the key question is whether Brentford’s efficient attack can disrupt Liverpool’s strong home record on the final day.

Liverpool vs Brentford Key Stats

• Liverpool are 5th with 59 points from 37 games, scoring 62 and conceding 52 in the league.
• Brentford beat Liverpool 3-2 at Brentford Community Stadium in the Premier League on 25 October 2025.
• Liverpool average 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per league game, while Brentford average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Liverpool vs Brentford — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 9
• Points: 59 vs 52
• Goals For: 62 vs 54
• Goals Against: 52 vs 51
• Clean Sheets: 10 vs 10

Liverpool’s league campaign has been solid if uneven. With 17 wins, 8 draws and 12 defeats from 37 matches, they have done enough to sit 5th and occupy a Champions League (League phase) spot. Anfield has been a relative fortress: 10 wins, 5 draws and just 3 defeats at home, with 33 goals scored and 19 conceded. That home platform has been crucial in compensating for a more erratic away record.

Brentford, 9th on 52 points, have put together a balanced season: 14 wins, 10 draws and 13 losses, with 54 goals scored and 51 conceded. At home they have been difficult to beat, but away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats, with 21 scored and 30 conceded. The numbers point to Liverpool having the stronger overall profile and particularly the stronger home record, but Brentford’s goal difference and clean-sheet count show they are far from soft opposition.

Liverpool vs Brentford Key Matchups

H. Ekitike vs Thiago

Hugo Ekitike has been one of Liverpool’s most effective attacking outlets this season. The attacker has 11 league goals and 4 assists from 28 appearances, with 21 starts and 1,810 minutes. His 48 shots with 19 on target underline a willingness to shoot, while 21 key passes and 72 dribble attempts (38 successful) show he offers both penetration and link play in the final third.

For Brentford, Thiago has been a standout centre-forward and one of the league’s most prolific scorers. With 22 goals and 1 assist in 37 appearances (36 starts, 3,194 minutes), he is a constant threat. He has taken 66 shots with 43 on target, a high accuracy rate, and also scored 8 penalties from 9 attempts. His physical presence is backed by 513 duels contested and 198 won, underlining how central he is to Brentford’s attacking structure. This duel between Ekitike’s mobility and Thiago’s penalty-box presence could shape the expected goals output on the day.

D. Szoboszlai vs K. Schade

Dominik Szoboszlai has been Liverpool’s creative heartbeat in midfield. Across 35 appearances and 3,143 minutes, he has contributed 6 goals and 7 assists. His passing volume is elite: 2,125 passes with 74 key passes and 87% accuracy. He also works hard out of possession, with 52 tackles, 8 blocks and 29 interceptions. However, his disciplinary record is notable: 8 yellow cards and 1 red, plus a missed penalty, suggesting an aggressive edge that can cut both ways in a high-stakes match.

Kevin Schade offers Brentford a direct, hard-running outlet from midfield. In 34 appearances (31 starts, 2,667 minutes), he has scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists. He has 42 shots with 22 on target and 29 key passes from 513 total passes. His 70 dribble attempts (20 successful) and 415 duels (184 won) show how often he engages defenders, while 6 yellow cards and 1 red underline his combative style. Szoboszlai’s creativity against Schade’s energy and transitional threat will be a key battleground in midfield.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Liverpool and Brentford in the Premier League have generally favoured Liverpool, though Brentford have shown they can hurt the Reds, particularly at home. The last nine league clashes have produced goals and several multi-goal margins.

• 25 October 2025: Brentford 3-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
• 18 January 2025: Brentford 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)
• 25 August 2024: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford (Premier League)
• 17 February 2024: Brentford 1-4 Liverpool (Premier League)
• 12 November 2023: Liverpool 3-0 Brentford (Premier League)
• 6 May 2023: Liverpool 1-0 Brentford (Premier League)
• 2 January 2023: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool (Premier League)
• 16 January 2022: Liverpool 3-0 Brentford (Premier League)
• 25 September 2021: Brentford 3-3 Liverpool (Premier League)

Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced contest in terms of match flow, even if the probabilities lean heavily towards the hosts avoiding defeat. Liverpool’s league form string of LDLWW reflects recent inconsistency, but their season-long attacking metrics and strong home record remain compelling. Brentford’s DLWLD run suggests a mixed finish, with their attack still capable but their away record leaving questions.

The prediction model gives Liverpool and the draw 45% each, with Brentford just 10%, and explicitly advises a double chance on Liverpool or draw. Both teams average between 1.5 and 1.7 goals scored per game and concede around 1.4, while their head-to-head history at Anfield includes several multi-goal wins for Liverpool and only one narrow 1-0. With the goals fields set below 2.5 for both sides, the expectation is for a relatively controlled game rather than a shootout, but Liverpool’s superior attacking depth and home advantage should tell.

Predicted Score: Liverpool 2-1 Brentford

Liverpool League Form

LDLWW

Brentford League Form

DLWLD

Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup

Alisson Becker; C. Bradley, I. Konaté, V. van Dijk, A. Robertson; W. Endo, D. Szoboszlai, A. Mac Allister; Mohamed Salah, H. Ekitike, C. Gakpo.

Liverpool have the squad depth to field a strong, balanced XI. Alisson Becker provides security in goal, while a back line built around Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konaté offers aerial dominance against Thiago. In midfield, Wataru Endo can anchor, allowing Dominik Szoboszlai and Alexis Mac Allister to dictate possession and supply the front three. In attack, Mohamed Salah, Hugo Ekitike and Cody Gakpo give Liverpool pace, movement and finishing, aligning with their season average of 1.7 goals per game and a preference for a 4-2-3-1 structure.

Brentford Possible Starting Lineup

E. Balcombe; A. Hickey, N. Collins, E. Pinnock, R. Henry; V. Janelt, M. Jensen; K. Schade, M. Damsgaard, R. Nelson; Thiago.

Brentford are likely to lean on their familiar 4-2-3-1 framework, which they have used most often this season. A back four featuring Ethan Pinnock and Nathan Collins will be tasked with handling Liverpool’s aerial and transitional threat, while Vitaly Janelt and Mathias Jensen can provide balance and distribution in midfield. Further forward, Kevin Schade and Mikkel Damsgaard offer creativity and running power around Thiago, whose 22-goal haul makes him the focal point of Brentford’s attack, especially given their 100% penalty record this season.

Liverpool Team News

No significant absences reported.

Brentford Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Liverpool:

• None reported.

Brentford:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Liverpool vs Brentford

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Liverpool to win or draw (double chance). The prediction gives Liverpool and the draw a combined 90% probability against just 10% for Brentford, and Liverpool’s strong home record supports this. For a straight home win, Pinnacle offer around 1.81 on Liverpool, while 10Bet are at 1.79.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals appeals. Both sides average between 1.5 and 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, and the goals projection is set below 2.5 for each team, pointing towards a competitive but not wild scoreline like 2-1 or 1-1. While no dedicated totals odds are listed here, this aligns with the conservative goal expectation.
• Value Tip: Thiago to score anytime is an attractive angle. With 22 league goals and 8 penalties scored, he is Brentford’s primary goal threat and heavily involved in their attacking play. Given Brentford’s reliance on him in the box, combining a Liverpool win with a Thiago goal could offer strong value at prices near the away win odds band (around 3.75–4.12 for Brentford overall, such as 4.12 at 1xBet for the away victory).

How to Watch Liverpool vs Brentford

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.