Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Fulham welcome Newcastle to Craven Cottage on 24 May 2026 for a final-day Premier League fixture that doubles as a mid-table shootout. Both sides arrive locked on 49 points after 37 games, with Newcastle ahead only on goal difference. With no European places or relegation on the line, pride, prize money and a top-half finish are the key incentives.

Craven Cottage has been a relative stronghold for Fulham, who have taken 10 wins from 18 home matches, but their recent league form of DLLWD underlines inconsistency at a crucial stage. Newcastle, by contrast, have matched Fulham’s points tally with a more potent attack, scoring 53 league goals to Fulham’s 45, yet they have been just as leaky at the back with 53 conceded.

For those weighing up Fulham vs Newcastle predictions and betting tips, the matchup looks finely poised. Stats suggest a near coin-flip contest, and with both teams sharing identical records of 14 wins, 7 draws and 16 defeats, the margins are likely to be thin on the banks of the Thames.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Stats

• Fulham and Newcastle are level on 49 points after 37 games, each with a record of 14 wins, 7 draws and 16 losses.
• Newcastle have won 3 of the last 5 meetings in all competitions, with Fulham winning 2.
• Fulham average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per league game, while Newcastle average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Fulham vs Newcastle — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 13 vs 11
• Points: 49 vs 49
• Goals For: 45 vs 53
• Goals Against: 51 vs 53
• Clean Sheets: Fulham 8, Newcastle 8

The season record shows two evenly matched sides. Fulham sit 13th with 49 points and a goal difference of -6, built on 45 goals scored and 51 conceded. Newcastle occupy 11th, also on 49 points, but with a neutral goal difference thanks to 53 scored and 53 conceded. Both have identical win-draw-loss tallies, underscoring how fine the separation has been.

At home, Fulham have been stronger, winning 10 of 18 matches and scoring 28 while conceding just 20. Newcastle’s away record mirrors Fulham’s away struggles: only 4 wins from 18, with 17 scored and 23 conceded. Clean sheet numbers are identical at 8 apiece, suggesting neither defence has been consistently dominant. With league form strings of DLLWD for Fulham and WDWLL for Newcastle, the visitors edge recent momentum, but not decisively.

Fulham vs Newcastle Key Matchups

H. Wilson vs Bruno Guimarães

Harry Wilson has been Fulham’s standout attacking threat from midfield. Across 35 league appearances, he has scored 10 goals and provided 6 assists, underlining his dual role as finisher and creator. His 50 shots with 25 on target show a willingness to test goalkeepers, while 38 key passes and 769 total passes at 81% accuracy highlight his importance as a playmaker.

For Newcastle, Bruno Guimarães has been the heartbeat of their midfield. In 28 appearances, he has contributed 9 goals and 5 assists, an impressive return from a central role. He has taken 35 shots with 22 on target and completed 1404 passes at 86% accuracy, with 46 key passes. This duel between Wilson’s cutting edge and Bruno’s control could decide which side dictates tempo and territory.

J. Andersen vs A. Gordon

At the back, Joachim Andersen anchors Fulham’s defence. With 33 appearances and 2884 minutes, he is an ever-present, contributing 45 tackles, 19 blocks and 36 interceptions. His 2275 passes at 86% accuracy indicate Fulham’s reliance on him to build from deep, though his disciplinary record of 7 yellow cards and 1 red shows a combative edge.

Anthony Gordon offers Newcastle a dynamic threat in the final third. In 26 appearances, he has scored 6 goals and added 2 assists, with 37 shots and 20 on target. His dribbling volume is high, attempting 71 dribbles with 33 successful, and he draws 40 fouls, often forcing defenders like Andersen into risky challenges. How Andersen manages Gordon’s direct running could be pivotal, especially with the defender already carrying one red card this campaign.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head history has been competitive, with both teams trading wins across league and cup. Newcastle have had a slight edge overall, but Fulham have shown they can hurt the Magpies at Craven Cottage.

• 17 December 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (League Cup)
• 25 October 2025: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham (Premier League)
• 1 February 2025: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham (Premier League)
• 21 September 2024: Fulham 3-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
• 6 April 2024: Fulham 0-1 Newcastle (Premier League)

Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction

Analysis points to a finely balanced contest with a slight edge towards Newcastle avoiding defeat. Comparison metrics give Newcastle a 55.5% overall advantage, with stronger attacking numbers (80% vs 20% in attack comparison) and better recent form. Fulham’s defensive metrics are marginally stronger, but their league form string and lower attacking output suggest they may struggle to outscore the visitors.

Predictions data leans towards a “win or draw” outcome for Newcastle, with the probability split at 10% home, 45% draw and 45% away. Fulham’s home strength and Newcastle’s away inconsistency make a stalemate a realistic outcome, especially on a final day where tension can blunt attacking sharpness. Expect a tight, tactical game with chances at both ends but no runaway winner.

Predicted Score: Fulham 1-1 Newcastle

Fulham League Form

DLLWD

Newcastle League Form

WDWLL

Fulham Possible Starting Lineup

B. Leno; T. Castagne, J. Andersen, C. Bassey, A. Robinson; S. Berge, S. Lukić, T. Cairney; H. Wilson, A. Iwobi, Rodrigo Muniz.

Fulham are likely to stick close to their favoured 4-2-3-1 shape, which they have used in the vast majority of league fixtures. Bernd Leno provides stability in goal, with Joachim Andersen and Calvin Bassey forming a robust central pairing and Timothy Castagne and Antonee Robinson offering width from full-back. In midfield, Sander Berge and Saša Lukić can shield the defence while Tom Cairney links play. Harry Wilson should operate as the primary creative outlet in the attacking band, supported by Alex Iwobi, with Rodrigo Muniz leading the line as a focal point.

Newcastle Possible Starting Lineup

N. Pope; K. Trippier, S. Botman, D. Burn, L. Hall; Bruno Guimarães, Joelinton, J. Willock; A. Gordon, H. Barnes, Y. Wissa.

Newcastle have predominantly lined up in a 4-3-3, and that structure suits their available personnel. Nick Pope is the natural choice in goal, protected by a back four featuring Kieran Trippier’s delivery from right-back and the physical presence of Dan Burn alongside Sven Botman. In midfield, Bruno Guimarães should dictate tempo, with Joelinton providing power and Joe Willock driving forward. Up front, Anthony Gordon’s pace and dribbling, Harvey Barnes’ cutting in from the flank, and Yoane Wissa’s movement through the middle offer a varied attacking threat.

Fulham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Newcastle Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Fulham:

• None reported.

Newcastle:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Fulham vs Newcastle

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back “Draw or Newcastle” in the double chance market. Newcastle are given a 45% away win probability with another 45% on the draw, and the advice leans towards “draw or Newcastle”. With the away side holding a slight edge in overall comparison and form, siding against a home win is logical. For the match winner market, away prices around 2.25–2.36 (e.g. 2.25 at 10Bet or Bet365, 2.32 at Pinnacle, 2.36 at 1xBet) indicate the market also leans marginally towards Newcastle.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals appeals. Both teams average 1.4 goals conceded and between 1.2 and 1.4 scored, and many of their recent head-to-head clashes have been tight, including 1-0 and 2-1 scorelines. While no specific under/over odds are listed, the modest scoring averages and balanced defences suggest a game unlikely to explode into a high-scoring shootout.
• Value Tip: Consider a player-impact angle around cards or fouls involving D. Burn or Joelinton. Burn has collected 10 yellow cards and 1 yellow-red in 28 appearances, while Joelinton also has 10 yellows in 27 games, indicating a high card risk. With Fulham’s key dribblers like H. Wilson and Newcastle’s aggressive style, backing a high card count for these players could offer value. For those preferring the 1X2 market, the home win at up to 2.99 with 1xBet may appeal to bettors who trust Fulham’s strong home record against Newcastle’s patchy away form.

How to Watch Fulham vs Newcastle

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.