Torino vs Juventus Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Torino host Juventus at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino in Turin on 24 May 2026 in a Derby della Mole that closes out the Serie A regular season. Beyond the fierce city rivalry, this clash also carries clear competitive stakes: Juventus are protecting a strong position in the Europa League places, while Torino aim to finish mid-table on a high and spoil their neighbours’ party.

With one round left, Torino sit 12th on 44 points from 37 matches, having scored 42 and conceded 61. Their negative goal difference and recent run of “LWLDD” in the league underline an inconsistent campaign, but an upset here would be a statement result. Juventus, by contrast, are 6th with 68 points, 59 goals scored and only 32 conceded, and are explicitly in the “Promotion - Europa League (League phase)” zone. They arrive as clear favourites but know local derbies rarely follow the script.

Stats suggest this Torino vs Juventus Serie A showdown should be tight but tilted towards the visitors. H2H history, current league form and defensive records all point to Juventus having the edge, yet recent meetings have been closer than the reputations of the two clubs might imply.

Torino vs Juventus Key Stats

• Torino are 12th with 44 points from 37 games, while Juventus are 6th on 68 points from the same number of matches.
• The last three Serie A derbies have produced two 0-0 draws and one 2-0 Juventus home win, including a 0-0 at Allianz Stadium on 8 November 2025.
• Juventus average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per league game this season, compared to Torino’s 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Torino vs Juventus — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 12 vs 6
• Points: 44 vs 68
• Goals For: 42 vs 59
• Goals Against: 61 vs 32
• Clean Sheets: 12 vs 16

The season record shows a clear gap between the sides. Torino’s 12 wins, 8 draws and 17 defeats from 37 matches reflect a team hovering in the lower mid-table, with a defence that has leaked 61 goals. Their home record (8 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses, 25 scored and 27 conceded) is respectable, but not intimidating for a top-six visitor.

Juventus have been far more consistent: 19 wins, 11 draws and only 7 defeats, with a +27 goal difference. They have been solid both home and away, taking 34 points on their travels (9 wins, 4 draws, 5 defeats, 24 scored, 16 conceded). With 16 clean sheets in the league, their defensive platform is one of the strongest in the division, and that underpins their status in the Europa League qualification places coming into this final round.

Torino vs Juventus Key Matchups

G. Simeone vs K. Yıldız

Giovanni Simeone has been Torino’s main goal threat, scoring 11 league goals in 31 appearances, with 26 starts and 2,161 minutes. He has taken 58 shots, 28 of them on target, and drawn 39 fouls, showing how often he occupies and troubles opposing defences. Torino’s attack is built around his penalty-box presence and work rate.

For Juventus, Kenan Yıldız has emerged as a standout attacking figure. In 36 appearances (33 starts) and 2,838 minutes, he has produced 10 goals and 6 assists, with 64 shots and 40 on target. His creative output is elite: 1,223 passes with 76 key passes and 84% accuracy, plus 149 dribble attempts with 78 successful. Yıldız’s ability to both finish and create means Torino cannot simply focus on one aspect of his game; limiting his influence between the lines will be crucial if Simeone’s goals are to matter.

W. McKennie vs M. Locatelli

Weston McKennie offers Juventus a powerful two-way presence in midfield. Across 35 appearances (31 starts) and 2,751 minutes, he has contributed 5 goals and 5 assists, with 36 shots (16 on target) and 47 key passes from 1,163 total passes. Defensively, 39 tackles and 24 interceptions underline his work without the ball, while 5 yellow cards show his willingness to compete aggressively.

Manuel Locatelli, meanwhile, is the metronome and ball-winner. In 35 starts and 2,915 minutes, he has 1 goal and 2 assists but far more impact in build-up and defensive phases: 2,720 passes with 46 key passes at 88% accuracy, plus 99 tackles, 23 blocks and 38 interceptions. His 9 yellow cards highlight how often he is at the heart of duels. The McKennie–Locatelli axis gives Juventus control in central areas; if Torino’s midfield cannot disrupt this pairing, they will struggle to supply Simeone consistently.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent derbies have generally favoured Juventus, but Torino have managed to keep several encounters tight, especially at home. The last five Serie A meetings have produced two Juventus wins and three draws.

• 8 November 2025: Juventus 0-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 11 January 2025: Torino 1-1 Juventus (Serie A)
• 9 November 2024: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)
• 13 April 2024: Torino 0-0 Juventus (Serie A)
• 7 October 2023: Juventus 2-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs Juventus Prediction

Analysis points to a cagey derby with Juventus holding the upper hand. Torino’s league form string of “LWLDD” and a season-long average of 1.6 goals conceded per game suggest they are vulnerable at the back, even if their home record is competitive. Juventus, with “LWDDW” in their last five league matches and the best defensive numbers in this matchup, are well placed to control proceedings.

The prediction metrics give Juventus and the draw equal weight at 45% each, with only 10% for a Torino win, and the advice leans strongly towards “Double chance: draw or Juventus.” That, combined with Juventus’ superior clean-sheet record and attacking quality from Yıldız and McKennie, points towards an away result in a low-scoring contest.

Predicted Score: Torino 0-1 Juventus

Torino League Form

LWLDD

Juventus League Form

LWDDW

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

F. Israel; C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, G. Maripán, N. Nkounkou; A. Tamèze, I. Ilić, C. Casadei; N. Vlašić; G. Simeone, D. Zapata.

Torino have frequently used back-three and back-five structures, and their season usage of 3-5-2, 3-4-1-2 and 3-4-2-1 formations suggests a compact, wing-back-based setup again. With Giovanni Simeone as the focal point in attack and creative support from Nikola Vlašić and central midfielders like Ivan Ilić and Adrien Tamèze, Torino will try to strike a balance between defensive solidity and counter-attacking threat against a superior opponent.

Juventus Possible Starting Lineup

M. Di Gregorio; Bremer, F. Gatti, A. Cambiaso; E. Holm, M. Locatelli, W. McKennie, F. Kostić; T. Koopmeiners, K. Yıldız; D. Vlahović.

Juventus have predominantly lined up in a 3-4-2-1 this season, with that shape used 23 times, and they are likely to stick with a back three and wing-backs. Bremer and Federico Gatti provide physicality in defence, Manuel Locatelli anchors midfield, while Weston McKennie adds vertical runs and energy. In the final third, Kenan Yıldız operates between the lines alongside a creator like Teun Koopmeiners, supplying a central striker such as Dušan Vlahović. This structure maximises their defensive stability and allows them to dominate territory.

Torino Team News

Torino have one notable absentee ahead of the derby, with a forward option ruled out through injury.

Juventus Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

• Zannetos Savva — Reason: Jumpers knee

Juventus:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs Juventus

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Juventus to win. They are 6th with 68 points and a +27 goal difference, compared to Torino’s 12th place, 44 points and -19 goal difference. Predictions give only 10% to a home win versus 45% each for draw and away, with explicit advice of “Double chance: draw or Juventus.” For a straight away win, Betfair offer around 1.40, while Pinnacle are at 1.41 and 1xBet at 1.45.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Torino average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Juventus 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded, and three of the last five derbies finished 0-0 or 1-1. With both sides showing strong clean-sheet numbers (12 for Torino, 16 for Juventus) and Juventus’ last five league games averaging just 0.8 goals for and 0.6 against, a low-scoring affair is likely. Look for Under 2.5 goals in the main goals market with your preferred bookmaker.
• Value Tip: Kenan Yıldız to score or assist. He has 10 goals and 6 assists in 36 league appearances, with 40 shots on target and 76 key passes, making him central to Juventus’ attacking output. With Juventus heavily favoured (away odds as short as 1.36 with SBO and 1.38 with Unibet), backing Yıldız in a player performance market (anytime goal or assist) offers a more attractive angle, especially given his dual threat as scorer and creator.

How to Watch Torino vs Juventus

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.