Napoli vs Udinese Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Napoli welcome Udinese to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on 24 May 2026 for the final round of the Serie A regular season, with the hosts looking to close out an impressive campaign in style. Sitting second in the table on 73 points, Napoli have already secured a Champions League league-phase place, but will want a statement performance in front of their own fans.

Udinese arrive in Naples safely in mid-table. Tenth with 50 points, they have no European qualification or relegation pressure on the final day, but recent meetings with Napoli suggest they can be awkward opponents. For those searching for Napoli vs Udinese prediction angles and betting tips, the clash sets up as a classic scenario of a high-flying favourite against a dangerous underdog with solid away numbers.

With both sides having contrasting league trajectories but similar recent form percentages, this fixture should still be competitive. Napoli’s superior attacking metrics and defensive record at home, combined with their historical dominance in this matchup, underline why most Napoli vs Udinese betting tips lean heavily towards the hosts.

Napoli vs Udinese Key Stats

• Napoli are 2nd in Serie A with 73 points from 37 games, scoring 57 and conceding 36.
• Across the last five Serie A meetings listed, Napoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats against Udinese.
• Napoli have kept 14 clean sheets in the league, compared to Udinese’s 11.

Napoli vs Udinese — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 10
• Points: 73 vs 50
• Goals For: 57 vs 45
• Goals Against: 36 vs 47
• Clean Sheets: 14 vs 11

Napoli’s season record shows a side operating at a consistently high level. With 22 wins from 37 matches and a goal difference of +21, they have combined one of the division’s sharper attacks (57 goals, 1.5 per game) with a defence conceding just 36. Their home form is particularly strong: 12 wins, 4 draws and only 2 defeats from 18, with 32 goals scored and 18 conceded.

Udinese’s numbers point to a solid but streaky mid-table outfit. Tenth place with 50 points from 14 wins, 8 draws and 15 losses reflects inconsistency, yet their away record is notably competitive: 8 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats on the road, with 27 goals scored and 26 conceded. Their overall goal difference of -2 (45 for, 47 against) and an average of 1.2 goals scored per game underline why they sit comfortably in mid-table rather than pushing higher.

Napoli vs Udinese Key Matchups

Rasmus Højlund vs Keinan Davis

Rasmus Højlund has been central to Napoli’s attacking threat. Across 32 league appearances (31 starts, 2671 minutes), he has scored 11 goals and provided 5 assists. His 44 shots with 23 on target, plus 31 key passes, show a striker who not only finishes but also links play effectively. Drawing 51 fouls and committing 37, he is heavily involved in physical duels, with 303 total duels and 108 won, and he has converted 1 penalty from 1.

For Udinese, Keinan Davis offers a similar focal point. In 29 appearances (26 starts, 1999 minutes), he has 10 goals and 4 assists, with 38 shots and 25 on target. His 29 key passes underline his creative contribution, while 310 duels and 146 won highlight his strength in battles with defenders. Having won 2 penalties and scored 4 from the spot, he is a major threat inside the box. This duel between two powerful forwards will go a long way to shaping the goal markets.

Scott McTominay vs Nicolò Zaniolo

Scott McTominay has added goals and drive from midfield for Napoli. In 32 appearances (30 starts, 2703 minutes), he has scored 10 goals and provided 3 assists. He has taken 71 shots with 34 on target and completed 1262 passes at 88% accuracy, with 22 key passes. Defensively, 28 tackles, 13 blocks and 21 interceptions underline his box-to-box influence, while winning 164 of 312 duels and drawing 68 fouls shows how often he disrupts opponents.

Nicolò Zaniolo is Udinese’s creative heartbeat. Over 32 appearances (28 starts, 2269 minutes), he has 5 goals and 6 assists, with 47 shots and 22 on target. His 579 passes include 53 key passes, reflecting his role as chief chance-creator. Zaniolo has attempted 94 dribbles with 33 successes and is constantly involved in duels (375 total, 140 won). He draws 61 fouls but also commits 62, and his 8 yellow cards underline the combative edge he brings between the lines.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head history strongly favours Napoli, even if Udinese claimed the most recent win. The last five Serie A clashes listed between these sides have produced 3 Napoli wins and 2 draws, with Udinese’s home victory in 2025 the exception in a largely Napoli-dominated series.

• 14 December 2025: Udinese 1-0 Napoli (Serie A)
• 9 February 2025: Napoli 1-1 Udinese (Serie A)
• 14 December 2024: Udinese 1-3 Napoli (Serie A)
• 6 May 2024: Udinese 1-1 Napoli (Serie A)
• 27 September 2023: Napoli 4-1 Udinese (Serie A)

Napoli vs Udinese Prediction

Analysis points to a match where Napoli control territory and possession, but must be wary of Udinese’s away threat. Napoli’s league form string of WLDWL and Udinese’s LWWDL suggest neither side is at peak consistency, yet the underlying season metrics and comparison data are clear: Napoli hold the edge in attack, while both teams’ defensive levels are rated similarly.

The predictions data rates Napoli at 45% to win, with a 45% chance of a draw and only 10% for an Udinese victory, and explicitly advises a double chance on Napoli or draw. Napoli’s 1.5 goals scored per game versus Udinese’s 1.2, alongside Napoli’s 14 clean sheets, back the idea of the hosts edging a relatively controlled contest. With the goals fields indicating a conservative under-2.5 profile, a tight home win fits both the numbers and the market expectations.

Predicted Score: Napoli 2-1 Udinese

Napoli League Form

WLDWL

Udinese League Form

LWWDL

Napoli Possible Starting Lineup

A. Meret; S. Beukema, A. Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Miguel Gutiérrez; G. Di Lorenzo, S. Lobotka, S. McTominay, K. De Bruyne; R. Højlund, R. Lukaku, M. Politano.

Napoli have favoured back-three and back-four shapes this season, most often a 3-4-2-1 but also 4-1-4-1 and 4-3-3. With options like Juan Jesus and Amir Rrahmani in defence, and a deep midfield pool including Stanislav Lobotka, André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay and Kevin De Bruyne, they can dominate central areas. Up front, combinations of Rasmus Højlund, Romelu Lukaku, David Neres and Matteo Politano give them varied ways to attack a three-man Udinese back line.

Udinese Possible Starting Lineup

M. Okoye; K. Ehizibue, C. Kabasele, O. Solet, J. Zemura; J. Karlström, Oier Zarraga, J. Ekkelenkamp, N. Zaniolo; K. Davis, V. Bayo.

Udinese’s most used shape has been 3-5-2, with frequent switches into 3-4-2-1. They are well stocked in defence with players like K. Ehizibue, C. Kabasele and O. Solet, while the midfield rotation includes J. Karlström, Oier Zarraga and J. Ekkelenkamp. In the final third, Keinan Davis is the reference point, supported by the creativity and ball-carrying of Nicolò Zaniolo and additional forwards such as V. Bayo and A. Buksa. Their structure is set up to counter quickly and exploit spaces behind Napoli’s wing-backs.

Napoli Team News

No significant absences reported.

Udinese Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Napoli:

• None reported.

Udinese:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Napoli vs Udinese

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Napoli to win. The prediction metrics give Napoli a 45% win probability with only 10% for Udinese, and advise a double chance on Napoli or draw. Napoli’s superior league position, stronger goal difference and excellent home record support a home win. Odds for the home victory are around 1.47–1.54 with major bookmakers (for example 1.47 at 10Bet and Unibet, 1.50 at William Hill and Pinnacle, and 1.54 at 1xBet).
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals. Both teams’ season averages (Napoli 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded; Udinese 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded) and the prediction profile pointing to under 2.5 suggest a relatively controlled contest rather than a goal glut. With several recent H2H meetings finishing 1-1 or 1-0, a cautious goals angle aligns with the underlying numbers. Use the main 1X2 prices as a guide to build a goals-based multiple with the home win.
• Value Tip: Keinan Davis to score or register a goal contribution. Davis has 10 goals and 4 assists in 29 appearances, with 25 shots on target and 4 successful penalties. His duel numbers (310 total, 146 won) and 2 penalties won underline how often he gets into dangerous positions. In a game where Napoli are heavy favourites (home odds clustered around 1.45–1.54 and away as high as 7.50 at Bet365 and Betfair), Davis-related scorer or shot markets can offer better value than the short prices on the match result.

How to Watch Napoli vs Udinese

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.