Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Hellas Verona host AS Roma at Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi in Verona on 24 May 2026 in the final round of Serie A’s regular season. It is a clash between a side already mired in the relegation zone and a Champions League contender looking to lock in a top‑four finish, making this a classic end‑of‑campaign fixture with very different pressures on each team.

Verona come into matchday 38 in 19th place with 21 points from 37 games, carrying a goal difference of -34 after scoring just 25 and conceding 59. Their league record of 3 wins, 12 draws and 22 defeats underlines why they sit in the “Relegation - Serie B” zone. At home they have been particularly poor, winning only once in 18 attempts. For anyone looking at a Hellas Verona vs AS Roma prediction or scouting Serie A betting tips, the numbers point to a side simply trying to restore pride on the final day.

Roma, by contrast, arrive in Verona in 4th place on 70 points from 37 matches, with 22 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses, and a healthy goal difference of +26 (57 scored, 31 conceded). That tally currently places them in the “Promotion - Champions League (League phase)” positions. With a strong away record of 9 wins from 18 and impressive recent form, AS Roma are heavy favourites with the bookmakers and a popular angle for those searching how to bet on Hellas Verona vs AS Roma in Serie A.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Stats

• Verona sit 19th with 21 points and only 3 wins from 37 league games, while conceding 59 goals.
• Roma have won the last two Serie A meetings, including a 2-0 home victory on 28 September 2025 at Stadio Olimpico.
• Roma average 1.5 goals scored per league game and have kept 17 clean sheets across the campaign.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 19 vs 4
• Points: 21 vs 70
• Goals For: 25 vs 57
• Goals Against: 59 vs 31
• Clean Sheets: Verona 6; Roma 17

The season record shows an enormous gap between the sides. Verona’s tally of 25 goals from 37 matches is one of the weakest attacks in the division, and their 59 goals conceded underlines persistent defensive frailty. A home record of 1 win, 5 draws and 12 defeats at Bentegodi, with only 12 goals scored, explains why they are firmly in the relegation places heading into this final round.

Roma’s campaign has been the mirror image. With 57 goals scored and just 31 conceded, they combine one of the league’s sharper attacks with one of its stingiest defences. Their 22 wins and 70 points have them securely inside the Champions League zone. Away from home, 9 wins and only 24 goals conceded in 18 matches highlight a side comfortable on the road. With Roma’s league form string reading “WWWWD” and Verona’s “DLDDL”, momentum is clearly on the visitors’ side.

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Key Matchups

G. Orban vs D. Malen

Gift Emmanuel Orban is one of Verona’s most dangerous attacking outlets. He has made 28 league appearances, starting 23 and logging 2036 minutes. In that time he has scored 7 goals and supplied 2 assists, taking 61 shots with 28 on target. His willingness to shoot and his 19 successful dribbles from 38 attempts make him a constant threat when Verona can transition quickly.

Donyell Malen has been Roma’s standout finisher. In just 17 appearances, all from the start, and 1394 minutes, he has scored 13 goals and added 2 assists. He has taken 46 shots with 29 on target, underlining his efficiency in front of goal. Malen has also converted 3 penalties from 3, giving Roma a reliable set‑piece finisher. This matchup pits Verona’s volume shooter against Roma’s clinical marksman; if Orban cannot match Malen’s end product, Verona will struggle to keep pace.

R. Gagliardini vs M. Soulé

Roberto Gagliardini is central to Verona’s midfield resistance. Across 29 appearances and 2216 minutes, he has scored 1 goal and received 10 yellow cards, illustrating his combative style. He has made 73 tackles, 13 blocks and 54 interceptions, winning 169 of 285 duels. His job will be to disrupt Roma’s creators and protect a defence that has leaked 59 goals.

Matías Soulé offers Roma creativity between the lines. In 32 appearances (27 starts) and 2095 minutes, he has contributed 6 goals and 5 assists. He has produced 45 key passes from 953 total passes at an 84% accuracy rate, and attempted 92 dribbles with 34 successful. Soulé’s ability to find pockets of space and progress the ball will severely test Gagliardini’s discipline; if the Verona midfielder cannot contain him, Roma will generate plenty of chances for Malen and the rest of the front line.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with both sides enjoying wins at home and away. Roma have edged the series overall in the last few years, but Verona have shown they can hurt the Giallorossi at Bentegodi.

• 28 September 2025: AS Roma 2-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 19 April 2025: AS Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 3 November 2024: Hellas Verona 3-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 20 January 2024: AS Roma 2-1 Hellas Verona (Serie A)
• 26 August 2023: Hellas Verona 2-1 AS Roma (Serie A)

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction

Analysis points to a match tilted heavily in Roma’s favour. Verona’s league form “DLDDL” reflects just 1 win in their last five, with only 25 goals scored all season and an average of 0.7 goals per game. Their defence concedes 1.6 goals per match on average and has kept just 6 clean sheets. Roma, meanwhile, come in with a “WWWWD” form line, scoring 57 goals at 1.5 per game and conceding only 0.8 on average, backed by 17 clean sheets.

The prediction metrics give Roma a 45% chance to win, with 45% on the draw and just 10% on a Verona victory, and still designate Roma as the expected winner. Given Roma’s strong away record, superior attack and defensive solidity, and their recent H2H edge, the visitors should control territory and chances. Verona may create sporadic moments through Orban, but sustaining pressure against Roma’s structure looks unlikely.

Predicted Score: Hellas Verona 0-2 AS Roma

Hellas Verona League Form

DLDDL

AS Roma League Form

WWWWD

Hellas Verona Possible Starting Lineup

Montipò; M. Frese, V. Nelsson, A. Bella-Kotchap; Pol Lirola, R. Gagliardini, J. Akpa Akpro, S. Lovrić, A. Harroui; G. Orban, T. Suslov.

Verona have largely favoured back‑three systems such as 3-5-2 and 3-4-2-1, and the squad composition supports another three‑centre‑back setup. Defenders like M. Frese and V. Nelsson can anchor the line, with wing‑backs such as Pol Lirola providing width. In midfield, the physical presence of R. Gagliardini and J. Akpa Akpro will be vital to disrupt Roma’s possession. Up front, G. Orban’s 7 goals and high shot volume make him the natural focal point, with a more creative partner like T. Suslov offering support between the lines. Expect Verona to sit relatively deep, use their wing‑backs to escape pressure, and rely on Orban’s movement on the break.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

M. Svilar; G. Mancini, Hermoso, E. Ndicka; Z. Çelik, B. Cristante, Wesley, Angeliño; M. Soulé, P. Dybala; D. Malen.

Roma’s season data shows a strong preference for a 3-4-2-1 shape, and their personnel fit that structure well. At the back, G. Mancini and Hermoso are key, both contributing defensively and in build‑up. Z. Çelik and Angeliño are natural fits as wing‑backs, providing width and delivery. In midfield, B. Cristante and Wesley can control tempo and offer ball‑winning, with Wesley also carrying a goal threat from his 5 goals. Ahead of them, M. Soulé’s 6 goals and 5 assists, alongside P. Dybala’s creativity, should feed D. Malen, who has been lethal with 13 league goals. This setup allows Roma to dominate possession, press high and flood the final third with runners.

Hellas Verona Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

Roma have one notable absentee listed ahead of this match, which slightly affects their midfield rotation options.

Injuries & Suspensions

Hellas Verona:

• None reported.

AS Roma:

• E. Bove — Reason: heart problems

Betting Tips: Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. Roma are 4th with 70 points and a “WWWWD” form line, while Verona are 19th with just 21 points and “DLDDL”. The prediction metrics give Roma a clear edge, with only a 10% implied chance for a Verona win and Roma identified as the likely winner. Across major bookmakers, Roma are priced around 1.29–1.35 in the Match Winner market (for example 1.30 at Bet365 and Unibet, 1.35 at 1xBet), reflecting their strong superiority.
• Goals Tip: Roma to win to nil. Verona average only 0.7 goals per game and have failed to score 19 times this league campaign, while Roma have kept 17 clean sheets and concede just 0.8 goals per match. The last meeting ended 2-0 to Roma on 28 September 2025. With Roma heavy favourites at around 1.30 and Verona’s attack misfiring, combining a Roma win with Verona not scoring offers a logical goals‑related angle if such a market is available, using the base Roma price range (1.29–1.35) as a guide to construct same‑game multiples.
• Value Tip: D. Malen to score anytime in a Roma win. Malen has 13 goals in 17 appearances, an elite strike rate, and also takes penalties (3 scored from 3). Roma’s attack is graded at 100% in their recent last‑five assessment, averaging 2.4 goals per game over that span. With Roma widely priced at 1.29–1.35 to win, building a player‑focused bet around Malen to score in a Roma victory taps into both his finishing form and Roma’s attacking momentum, potentially offering better value than the short match‑winner odds alone.

How to Watch Hellas Verona vs AS Roma

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.