Cremonese vs Como Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Cremonese host Como at Stadio Giovanni Zini in a high-stakes Serie A clash on 24 May 2026, with the two clubs arriving at the final day of the campaign with very different agendas. The hosts sit 18th with 34 points and a -22 goal difference after 37 matches, locked in the relegation zone and fighting to preserve their top-flight status. Como, by contrast, travel south in fifth place on 68 points, firmly in the Europa League league-phase positions and looking to close out a superb season.

From a Cremonese vs Como prediction perspective, the matchup pits one of the division’s weakest defences against one of its most efficient all-round sides. Cremonese have collected just eight wins in 37 games and conceded 53 goals, while Como have lost only seven times, scoring 61 and boasting one of the strongest goal differences in the league at +33. The venue and Cremonese’s desperation could tighten things up, but the underlying numbers heavily favour the visitors.

With Como already in a Europa League slot and Cremonese battling relegation, this fixture has clear narrative lines for betting tips and tactical analysis. Como’s superior form and defensive solidity suggest they can control proceedings, yet Cremonese’s home crowd and strong historical record in this head-to-head add intrigue to any Cremonese vs Como prediction for the final round.

Cremonese vs Como Key Stats

• Cremonese are 18th in Serie A with 34 points from 37 games (31 goals for, 53 against), while Como are 5th with 68 points, scoring 61 and conceding only 28.
• Cremonese are unbeaten in the last five competitive home meetings with Como at Stadio Giovanni Zini, winning 2-1 on 9 March 2024, 2-0 on 15 January 2022 and 3-1 on 4 April 2017.
• Como have kept 19 clean sheets in the league campaign, compared to Cremonese’s 11, underlining a clear defensive advantage for the visitors.

Cremonese vs Como — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 18 vs 5
• Points: 34 vs 68
• Goals For: 31 vs 61
• Goals Against: 53 vs 28
• Clean Sheets: 11 vs 19

The season record shows a stark contrast between the sides. Cremonese have taken 34 points from 37 matches, with just eight wins and a -22 goal difference, a profile entirely consistent with their “Relegation - Serie B” status in the standings. Their attack averages fewer than a goal per game (31 scored), while their defence concedes at 1.4 per match across the campaign.

Como, meanwhile, sit comfortably in fifth with 68 points, backed by 19 wins and only seven defeats. Their 61 goals for and just 28 against highlight a balanced, high-level outfit, and their description in the table confirms they are already in the “Promotion - Europa League (League phase)” zone. Away from home they have been excellent, winning nine of 18 with only 13 goals conceded, suggesting Cremonese will need something special to turn the form book on its head.

Cremonese vs Como Key Matchups

Federico Bonazzoli vs Anastasios Douvikas

Federico Bonazzoli is Cremonese’s standout attacking threat. The forward has 9 goals and 1 assist in 34 appearances, starting 30 times and playing 2,439 minutes. He has been heavily involved, with 55 shots and 31 on target, and his 84% passing accuracy from 821 passes underlines his ability to link play as well as finish. Drawing 76 fouls, he is also crucial in winning set-pieces and relieving pressure.

Opposite him, Anastasios Douvikas leads the line for Como with 13 goals and 1 assist from 37 appearances. He has 46 shots and 28 on target, and while his passing volume (314 passes) is lower than Bonazzoli’s, his role as a penalty-box finisher is clear. With both players scoring regularly, the duel between Cremonese’s main outlet and Como’s top scorer will be central to any Cremonese vs Como prediction around goalscoring markets.

Jari Vandeputte vs Nicolás Paz

In midfield creativity terms, Jari Vandeputte is vital for Cremonese. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 31 appearances, with an impressive 53 key passes from 893 total passes, showing he is the side’s primary chance creator. His 77% passing accuracy and 37 tackles also highlight a work rate that extends beyond the final third.

For Como, Nicolás Paz is a genuine all-round star. Across 35 appearances and 2,884 minutes, he has 12 goals and 6 assists, supported by 86 shots (48 on target) and 51 key passes from 1,394 passes at 82% accuracy. Add 91 tackles and 28 interceptions, and he emerges as the engine and creative hub of Como’s midfield. The battle between Vandeputte’s delivery and Paz’s box-to-box influence could dictate which side controls territory and chance creation.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent head-to-head strongly favours Cremonese, particularly at Stadio Giovanni Zini. Across the last seven competitive meetings listed below, Cremonese have four wins and three draws, with Como yet to record a victory in this sequence.

• 27 September 2025: Como 1-1 Cremonese (Serie A)
• 9 March 2024: Cremonese 2-1 Como (Serie B)
• 8 October 2023: Como 1-3 Cremonese (Serie B)
• 6 May 2022: Como 1-2 Cremonese (Serie B)
• 15 January 2022: Cremonese 2-0 Como (Serie B)

Cremonese vs Como Prediction

Analysis points to a clash between Cremonese’s urgency and Como’s structure. Cremonese’s league form line of “WWLLD” suggests some late-season fight, but their season-long defensive numbers remain worrying: 53 goals conceded and only 11 clean sheets. Como arrive with a form string of “WWDWL” and a defensive record of just 28 conceded in 37 matches, plus 19 clean sheets, indicating they are well-equipped to manage pressure and protect leads.

The prediction metrics lean towards the visitors, with Como given a 45% chance to win and the draw also at 45%, against just 10% for a home victory, alongside an advice of double chance (draw or Como) and under 3.5 goals. Combined with Cremonese’s low scoring average (0.8 goals per game) and Como’s disciplined away record, this points towards a controlled away performance in a relatively tight encounter rather than a high-scoring shootout.

Predicted Score: Cremonese 1-2 Como

Cremonese League Form

WWLLD

Como League Form

WWDWL

Cremonese Possible Starting Lineup

E. Audero; F. Baschirotto, M. Bianchetti, S. Luperto, F. Ceccherini; G. Pezzella, M. Collocolo, A. Grassi, J. Vandeputte; F. Bonazzoli, D. Okereke.

Cremonese have favoured back-three and back-four systems across the campaign, with 3-5-2 their most common shape. A selection built around the experienced defensive core of Baschirotto, Bianchetti and Luperto, with Pezzella and Vandeputte offering width and delivery, would suit a compact, counter-attacking approach. Bonazzoli is almost certain to spearhead the attack given his 9-goal haul, with support from a mobile forward such as Okereke to stretch Como’s back line.

Como Possible Starting Lineup

J. Butez; M. Kempf, Diego Carlos, Jacobo Ramón Naveros, Alberto Moreno; M. Perrone, M. Caqueret; N. Paz; Jesús Rodríguez, N. Küh n, T. Douvikas.

Como have predominantly lined up in a 4-2-3-1, and that structure maximises their strengths. A back four marshalled by Kempf and Diego Carlos, with Naveros and Alberto Moreno in the full-back roles, provides a strong base that has delivered 19 clean sheets. In midfield, the double pivot of Perrone and Caqueret offers control and ball progression, while Paz as a central creator behind Douvikas gives Como both goals (12 and 13 respectively) and assists. Wide support from Jesús Rodríguez, with 8 assists, and another attacker such as Küh n or Assane Diao would maintain their usual attacking balance.

Cremonese Team News

No significant absences reported.

Como Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Cremonese:

• None reported.

Como:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Cremonese vs Como

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back Como in the Match Winner market. With Como given a 45% win probability and the home side only 10%, plus Como’s 68 points and +33 goal difference against Cremonese’s -22, the away side are justifiably strong favourites. Odds around 1.58–1.63 are widely available (for example, 1.58 at 10Bet, 1.60 at William Hill, 1.63 at Marathonbet and Pinnacle), reflecting their superiority but still offering accumulator value.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals. The advice explicitly leans towards a low-scoring game, and the season data backs it: Cremonese average 0.8 goals for and 1.4 against, while Como concede only 0.8 per match. Most of Cremonese’s matches have stayed under higher goal thresholds, and Como’s strong defensive record, particularly away, further supports an unders angle. Look to combine under 3.5 with a Como double chance where available.
• Value Tip: Nicolás Paz to score or assist (where such combined markets exist) offers an attractive angle. Paz has 12 goals and 6 assists, with 86 shots and 51 key passes in 35 appearances, making him central to Como’s attacking output. With Como priced around 1.60 to win, any player-focused market that prices Paz generously relative to his direct involvement in 18 league goals could represent standout value.

How to Watch Cremonese vs Como

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.