Bologna vs Inter Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Bologna host champions-elect Inter at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on 23 May 2026 in the final round of Serie A’s regular season. With the title race effectively settled and Inter sitting top of the table, attention turns to whether Bologna can sign off at home by upsetting the league leaders once again.

Inter arrive in Bologna as league frontrunners with 86 points from 37 matches, boasting the division’s most potent attack and one of its meanest defences. Bologna, meanwhile, are eighth on 55 points after an inconsistent run-in, but they have already shown this campaign that they can trouble the Nerazzurri, both in the league and cups. For bettors looking at Bologna vs Inter predictions and betting tips, the clash between Inter’s free-scoring frontline and Bologna’s mixed home form is the key tactical and statistical battleground.

With Bologna’s season effectively locked into a solid top-half finish and Inter already guaranteed a Champions League league-phase berth, this fixture still matters for momentum, prestige and head-to-head bragging rights. Recent head-to-head results suggest this has quietly become one of Serie A’s more intriguing matchups, with Bologna repeatedly punching above their weight against Inter.

Bologna vs Inter Key Stats

• Bologna sit 8th with 55 points from 37 games, scoring 46 and conceding 43 in Serie A.
• Across the last five competitive meetings listed, Bologna and Inter each have two wins with one draw, including Bologna’s 1-0 home league victory on 20 April 2025.
• Inter average 2.3 goals per league game this season (86 scored in 37), while Bologna average 1.2 (46 in 37).

Bologna vs Inter — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 8 vs 1
• Points: 55 vs 86
• Goals For: 46 vs 86
• Goals Against: 43 vs 32
• Clean Sheets: Bologna 12 vs Inter 18

The league table underlines the gulf between the sides over 37 rounds. Bologna’s 16 wins, 7 draws and 14 defeats leave them firmly in the top half but short of European contention. Their goal difference of +3 (46 scored, 43 conceded) reflects a team that has been competitive but not dominant, particularly at home where they have lost 9 of 18 matches and scored just 16 times.

Inter’s numbers are on a different level. With 27 wins, 5 draws and only 5 defeats, they have collected 86 points and boast a formidable +54 goal difference. They have hit 86 goals and conceded just 32, pairing the league’s most prolific attack with a defence that allows only 0.9 goals per game. Away from home, Inter have won 13 of 18, scoring 36 and conceding 16, and their 18 clean sheets overall underline why they are top of the league and already in the Champions League league-phase zone.

Bologna vs Inter Key Matchups

Riccardo Orsolini vs Lautaro Martínez

Riccardo Orsolini is Bologna’s standout attacking threat in Serie A this season. The 28-year-old has 10 goals and 1 assist from 35 appearances, with 26 starts and 2,131 minutes. He is heavily involved in Bologna’s build-up, attempting 66 shots with 31 on target and completing 561 passes with 26 key passes. His dribbling output is notable too, with 67 attempts and 32 successes, while he draws 44 fouls and has converted 4 penalties (missing 2). If Bologna are to trouble Inter’s back line, Orsolini’s ability to carry the ball, win fouls and create from wide areas will be central.

On the other side, Lautaro Martínez is the headline act for Inter. In 29 league appearances (26 starts, 2,124 minutes), he has scored 17 goals and supplied 6 assists, underlining his status as one of Serie A’s most complete forwards. He has taken 69 shots with 39 on target and produced 37 key passes from 583 total passes, combining finishing with link play. His work rate is reflected in 246 duels (112 won) and 24 tackles, while he draws 45 fouls. This duel pits Bologna’s primary scorer against Inter’s elite finisher; if Orsolini is kept quiet and Lautaro finds space, the balance of the game tilts heavily towards the visitors.

Federico Dimarco vs N. Cambiaghi

Federico Dimarco is one of Inter’s main creative engines. Operating from the left, he has 6 goals and a league-leading 16 assists in 34 appearances, with 2,650 minutes played. His delivery is elite: 1,416 passes with 94 key passes at 83% accuracy, plus 44 shots (20 on target). Defensively he contributes 50 tackles and 30 interceptions, and his 22 fouls drawn and 41 committed show how often he is involved in duels up and down the flank. His crossing and set-piece quality are a constant threat to any defence.

For Bologna, N. Cambiaghi offers a different kind of influence. In 28 appearances (17 starts, 1,530 minutes), he has 3 goals and 4 assists, with 16 shots (6 on target) and 18 key passes from 397 total passes at 83% accuracy. He is also a magnet for contact, drawing 71 fouls and committing 32, and has picked up 3 yellow cards and 1 red. His ability to carry the ball (33 dribble attempts, 15 successes) and win fouls high up the pitch could be crucial in relieving pressure and generating set-piece chances against an Inter side that often dominates territory.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Bologna and Inter have been far more balanced than the league table might suggest, with both sides enjoying significant wins in different competitions.

• 4 January 2026: Inter 3-1 Bologna (Serie A)
• 19 December 2025: Bologna 1-1 Inter (Super Cup – Bologna won 3-2 on penalties)
• 20 April 2025: Bologna 1-0 Inter (Serie A)
• 15 January 2025: Inter 2-2 Bologna (Serie A)
• 9 March 2024: Bologna 0-1 Inter (Serie A)

Bologna vs Inter Prediction

Stats suggest Inter should control large spells of this contest. They come in with a stronger recent form profile — their last five league games show 11 goals scored and only 3 conceded — and their season-long averages of 2.3 goals for and 0.9 against dwarf Bologna’s 1.2 for and 1.2 against. The prediction metrics give Inter a 45% chance of victory versus 10% for Bologna, with the draw also at 45%, highlighting both Inter’s superiority and the potential for a tight, cagey finale.

Bologna’s home record, with only 16 goals in 18 matches and 9 defeats, makes it hard to back them outright, even though they have beaten Inter at Dall’Ara as recently as 20 April 2025. Inter’s 13 away wins from 18 and 10 away clean sheets underline their reliability on the road. Expect Bologna to be organised and competitive, leaning on Orsolini and Cambiaghi in transition, but Inter’s superior firepower and defensive solidity should edge a close encounter.

Predicted Score: Bologna 1-2 Inter

Bologna League Form

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Inter League Form

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Bologna Possible Starting Lineup

Ł. Skorupski; L. De Silvestri, J. Lucumí, C. Lykogiannis, Juan Miranda; R. Freuler, N. Moro; R. Orsolini, L. Ferguson, F. Bernardeschi; T. Dallinga.

Bologna are likely to stay close to their favoured four-man defensive structure, having used a 4-2-3-1 shape most often this season. With creative profiles like Orsolini and Bernardeschi supporting a central striker such as Dallinga, they will look to exploit transitions and set pieces. The presence of experienced midfielders like Freuler and Moro provides balance, but the absence of several defenders from the squad list of available players for this fixture will test their depth at the back.

Inter Possible Starting Lineup

Y. Sommer; F. Acerbi, A. Bastoni, S. de Vrij; D. Dumfries, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, Carlos Augusto, F. Dimarco; Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram.

Inter have lined up in a 3-5-2 throughout the league campaign, and there is little reason to expect major deviation here. The back three anchored by Acerbi and Bastoni is protected by a midfield led by Barella and Çalhanoğlu, while Dimarco and Dumfries (or Carlos Augusto) provide width and crossing threat. Up front, the Lautaro–Thuram partnership offers a blend of movement, hold-up play and finishing that has powered Inter’s 86-goal season.

Bologna Team News

Bologna face several absences ahead of this match, particularly in defence. K. Bonifazi, N. Cambiaghi, N. Casale and M. Vitik are all listed as missing for this fixture, which may force adjustments both in the back line and in the attacking rotation.

Inter Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Bologna:

• K. Bonifazi — Reason: Inactive
• N. Cambiaghi — Reason: Muscle Injury
• N. Casale — Reason: Calf Injury
• M. Vitik — Reason: Ankle Injury

Inter:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Bologna vs Inter

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Inter to win. Inter are top of the table with 27 wins and a +54 goal difference, and the prediction metrics give them a 45% win probability versus just 10% for Bologna. Their away record (13 wins in 18) is outstanding, while Bologna have lost 9 of 18 at home. For the match-winner market, Inter are priced around 2.10–2.30 with major bookmakers (e.g. 2.10 at Unibet, 2.20 at 10Bet and Bet365, 2.26 at Pinnacle), offering a reasonable price given their superiority.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Inter average 2.3 goals scored per game and concede 0.9, while Bologna concede 1.2 and score 1.2. Several recent head-to-heads have been open, including Inter 3-1 Bologna on 4 January 2026 and multiple 2-2 draws. With no direct over/under odds listed, a goals-based angle complements the strong attacking metrics of Inter and Bologna’s vulnerability at home.
• Value Tip: Lautaro Martínez to score anytime in an Inter win. Lautaro has 17 goals and 6 assists in 29 appearances, taking 69 shots with 39 on target, and is central to Inter’s attacking scheme. Combining his scoring threat with an Inter victory aligns with both his individual numbers and Inter’s 63.5% overall edge in the comparison metrics. With Inter win odds in the 2.10–2.30 range, any player-goal scorer market built around Lautaro offers attractive value on top of the match result.

How to Watch Bologna vs Inter

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.