Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

Ventura County and Los Angeles FC II face off at Dignity Health Sports Park on 19 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could reshape the Pacific Division picture. Both sides are locked on 29 points and arrive with contrasting strengths: Ventura County’s free-scoring attack against an LAFC II side that has been far more convincing at home than on the road.

Ventura County sit 2nd in the Pacific Division with 29 points from 18 matches, boasting 10 wins and no draws but also 8 defeats. Their high-variance profile is underlined by a goal difference of +5 (32 scored, 27 conceded). Los Angeles FC II are just behind in 3rd, also on 29 points from 17 games, with 9 wins and 8 losses and a neutral goal difference (28 for, 28 against). With both clubs also tracking in the Eastern Conference play-off picture, this fixture carries clear play-off implications as they jostle for seeding and momentum.

Recent meetings between these Southern California rivals have been consistently high-scoring and finely balanced in terms of individual games, even if LAFC II have had the upper hand more often. With predictions pointing slightly towards Ventura County on a “win or draw” basis and goals expected, this has all the ingredients of another open, entertaining derby-style contest.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Stats

• Ventura County are 2nd in the Pacific Division with 29 points from 18 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 27.
• The most recent meeting on 17 May 2026 ended Los Angeles FC II 3-2 Ventura County in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action.
• Across their 2026 MLS Next Pro campaign, Ventura County average 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, with 4 clean sheets, while Los Angeles FC II average 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded with 1 clean sheet.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 2 vs 3
• Points: 29 vs 29
• Goals For: 32 vs 28
• Goals Against: 27 vs 28
• Clean Sheets: Ventura County 4; Los Angeles FC II 1 (tournament statistics)

In the Pacific Division standings, Ventura County’s 2nd place reflects a side that leans heavily into attack. They have scored 32 goals in 18 matches and conceded 27, with no draws on their record (10 wins, 8 losses). Their home record is solid: 5 wins and 4 defeats from 9 at Dignity Health Sports Park, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded.

Los Angeles FC II, 3rd in the Pacific Division, match Ventura County’s 29 points but from one game fewer (17). They have 9 wins and 8 losses, with a more pronounced split between home and away form. At home they are strong (7 wins, 3 losses, 17 scored, 10 conceded), but away they have struggled: just 2 wins and 5 defeats in 7, conceding 18 goals on the road. The clean sheet numbers underline Ventura’s slightly better defensive resilience across the campaign, even though both sides tend to play in high-event matches.

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Key Matchups

Ventura County attack vs Los Angeles FC II defence

Without individual scorer data, the key duel is collective: Ventura County’s front line against LAFC II’s leaky away defence. Ventura County average 1.9 goals per game overall in 2026, rising to 2.1 at home. Their biggest home win is 4-2, and they have regularly hit multiple goals, with over 1.5 team goals in 11 of 18 matches. They also rarely fail to score, blanking only once all season.

By contrast, Los Angeles FC II concede 1.9 goals per match overall, but the away figure is stark at 2.9 goals conceded per game (20 conceded in 7 away fixtures). Their biggest away defeat is 4-1, and they have allowed over 1.5 goals in the majority of their road outings. This matchup strongly favours Ventura County’s high-tempo offence, especially given their home scoring record and LAFC II’s vulnerability once they leave Titan Stadium.

Los Angeles FC II set pieces and penalties vs Ventura County discipline

Another subtle but important battle lies in dead-ball situations. Los Angeles FC II have been prolific from the spot, taking 16 penalties this season and converting 12 (75.00%). Ventura County, meanwhile, have conceded 29 goals and show a pattern of yellow cards clustered between 46–90 minutes, indicating potential late-game indiscipline.

Ventura County have themselves taken 7 penalties (5 scored, 71.43%), but LAFC II’s higher volume suggests they are adept at drawing fouls in dangerous areas. If Ventura County’s aggressive style leads to late tackles and bookings, LAFC II’s penalty efficiency could keep them in the game even if they are second-best in open play.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met frequently in MLS Next Pro over recent seasons, producing a string of high-scoring, often dramatic encounters. Goals are a recurring theme, with both teams regularly finding the net.

• 17 May 2026: Los Angeles FC II 3-2 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro Group Stage)
• 21 July 2025: Ventura County 3-3 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 25, Los Angeles FC II won 3-1 on penalties)
• 10 May 2025: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 11)
• 15 March 2025: Los Angeles FC II 3-1 Ventura County (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 2)
• 12 August 2024: Ventura County 1-2 Los Angeles FC II (MLS Next Pro Regular Season - 30)

Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II Prediction

Stats suggest a very even contest overall, but with a stylistic edge towards Ventura County at home. The prediction model gives Ventura County a 45% chance of victory, the draw also at 45%, and Los Angeles FC II just 10%. That aligns with the standings context: Ventura are strong at home and more balanced between attack and defence, while LAFC II’s away form is a clear concern.

Both sides are used to open games: Ventura County’s matches see an average of 3.5 total goals (1.9 for, 1.6 against), and LAFC II’s see 3.7 (1.8 for, 1.9 against). H2H history backs a high-scoring pattern, with recent scorelines of 3-2, 3-3, 2-1 and 3-1. With that in mind, another multi-goal encounter is likely. Given the probabilities and home advantage, Ventura County look slightly more trustworthy, but the high draw probability suggests a tight, possibly late-decided game.

Predicted Score: Ventura County 2-1 Los Angeles FC II

Ventura County Recent Form

Ventura County’s recent league form string reads “LWLOWW”, reflecting a volatile but ultimately positive run. Across their last six, they have picked up four wins and two defeats, continuing their season-long trend of avoiding draws. Over their last five matches specifically, they have scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and conceded 8 (1.6 per game), underlining both their attacking potency and their willingness to trade chances.

Los Angeles FC II Recent Form

Los Angeles FC II’s recent league form is “LOLOWWL”, another sequence with no draws and mixed results. Their last five matches show 6 goals scored (1.2 per game) and 7 conceded (1.4 per game), a more conservative attacking output than Ventura County but with slightly tighter defending in that short span. Over the broader campaign, however, their away defensive numbers remain worrying, especially coming into a tough road fixture.

Ventura County Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups or in-game statistics provided, a precise XI cannot be guaranteed. However, Ventura County’s squad profile suggests something along these lines in terms of structure:

GK: S. Conlon or B. Scott
Defenders: R. Dalgado, S. Hernandez, Harbor Miller, C. Rindov, Pepe, E. Martinez
Midfielders: T. Elgersma, I. Parente, Tucker Lepley, A. Vilamitjana, C. Gozdieski, V. Garcia, R. Ramos, M. Tsakiris, D. Vanney, M. Vanney, B. Phan, G. Arnold
Forwards: O. Aina, I. Luna, A. Medina, J. Placias, E. Preston, E. Rios, Maximus Steelman

Ventura County have ample depth in midfield and attack, which aligns with their high-scoring profile. With 35 goals scored across 18 fixtures and only one game without a goal, they are likely to line up in an attack-minded shape, perhaps with multiple forwards or advanced midfielders supporting a central striker. The variety of young attackers such as O. Aina, I. Luna and Maximus Steelman gives them flexibility to stretch LAFC II’s vulnerable away defence.

Los Angeles FC II Possible Starting Lineup

Again, with no official starting XI data, only the squad structure can be outlined:

GK: Cabral Carter or T. Hasal
Defenders: T. Babineau, C. Diaz, É. Díaz, L. Goodman, S. Minor-Kaplan, Kenny Nielsen, E. Ponciano, J. Santiago, G. Whitchurch
Midfielders: M. Evans, D. Guerra, L. Lambert, B. Moyado, Jude Terry, Lisandro Torres, E. Villeda, G. Zambrano
Forwards: M. Aiyenero, C. Kosakoff, J. Machuca, N. Mardaresco, Tommy Mihalic, Sebastian Nava, D. Resich, E. Rodriguez

Los Angeles FC II’s squad is youthful and balanced across the lines, with a strong attacking contingent. Their season numbers – 30 goals scored in 17 matches – indicate that they can hurt teams going forward, especially through mobile forwards like Tommy Mihalic and Sebastian Nava. However, given their away defensive record (20 goals conceded in 7), they may need to consider a slightly more conservative setup, perhaps with extra protection in midfield, to avoid being exposed by Ventura County’s transitions.

Ventura County Team News

No significant absences reported.

Los Angeles FC II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ventura County:

• None reported.

Los Angeles FC II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ventura County vs Los Angeles FC II

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles based on probabilities, form and trends:

• Result Tip: Ventura County Draw No Bet. With Ventura County given a 45% chance to win and Los Angeles FC II only 10%, plus Ventura’s stronger home record against LAFC II’s poor away form, siding with the hosts with draw protection looks sensible. The absence of draws in both teams’ records suggests a decisive result is likely, but the high draw probability in the prediction block makes the safety net valuable.
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 Total Goals. Ventura County matches average 3.5 total goals, and Los Angeles FC II’s average 3.7. Recent H2H meetings have produced scorelines of 3-2, 3-3, 2-1 and 3-1, strongly indicating a high-scoring pattern. Both teams attack well and concede regularly, especially LAFC II away from home, which supports an over-goals position.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score – Yes. Ventura County have failed to score only once in 18 matches and concede 1.6 goals per game, while LAFC II have scored in the majority of their fixtures and average 1.8 goals per match. The H2H history shows both sides scoring in most encounters. Given the attacking profiles and defensive vulnerabilities, BTTS offers attractive value as a standalone angle or in combination with other markets.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.