Getafe vs Osasuna Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Getafe close out their La Liga campaign at the Coliseum on 23 May 2026 with a high-stakes clash against Osasuna. The hosts sit 7th on 48 points after 37 matches, firmly in the “Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)” zone and with a real shot at securing European football. Osasuna arrive in 16th on 42 points, safe from immediate danger but with a season defined by inconsistency and a poor away record.

For those looking at Getafe vs Osasuna predictions and betting tips, this fixture offers a classic contrast: Getafe’s defensive resilience and low-scoring profile against an Osasuna side that scores more overall but collapses too often on their travels. Played at the Coliseum in Getafe, this final-day meeting will decide whether the home side can finish the year as Spain’s surprise European qualifier, while Osasuna aim to sign off with a statement result after a difficult run of league form.

With the standings tight around the European places and both teams carrying distinct statistical identities, this Getafe vs Osasuna preview leans heavily on league form, head-to-head trends and key individual performances to frame the best angles for punters and fans alike.

Getafe vs Osasuna Key Stats

• Getafe are 7th in La Liga with 48 points from 37 matches, scoring 31 and conceding 38.
• Across the last five La Liga meetings listed, Getafe and Osasuna each have two wins, with one draw between them.
• Getafe average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per game this season, while Osasuna average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Getafe vs Osasuna — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 16
• Points: 48 vs 42
• Goals For: 31 vs 44
• Goals Against: 38 vs 49
• Clean Sheets: 11 vs 7

The season record shows Getafe punching above their weight. With 14 wins, 6 draws and 17 defeats, they have ground out results despite scoring only 31 goals in 37 games. A goal difference of -7 underlines their conservative, defence-first approach, but 48 points and 7th place put them in the European qualification conversation going into the final round.

Osasuna’s numbers tell a different story. They have scored 44 times, significantly more than Getafe, but a leaky back line has shipped 49 goals. Their 11 wins, 9 draws and 17 defeats leave them 16th, six points behind Getafe despite the stronger attacking output. The away split is especially damaging: just 2 wins from 18 away matches, with 13 goals scored and 25 conceded, contrasts sharply with Getafe’s solid home base of 7 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats at the Coliseum.

Getafe vs Osasuna Key Matchups

Luis Milla vs A. Budimir

Luis Milla has been Getafe’s creative heartbeat from midfield. He has started all 36 of his league appearances, logging 3,188 minutes and providing 10 assists — a standout tally in a team that has scored only 31 league goals. With 1,352 passes at 77% accuracy and 79 key passes, Milla is central to chance creation, while his 56 tackles and 42 interceptions show he also contributes significantly out of possession.

Opposite him, Ante Budimir is Osasuna’s primary goal threat. The Croatian attacker has 17 goals in 36 appearances (34 starts), an elite return in a mid-table side. He has taken 88 shots with 41 on target, underlining his volume and accuracy, and converted 6 penalties from 8 attempts. With 15 key passes and 377 total passes, he can link play as well as finish it. The battle between Milla’s supply line and Budimir’s finishing will go a long way to deciding whether this match stays in Getafe’s controlled rhythm or opens up in Osasuna’s favour.

Domingos Duarte vs Catena

At the back, Domingos Duarte has been a mainstay for Getafe. In 33 appearances (all starts) and 2,838 minutes, he has chipped in with 1 goal and 1 assist, but his primary value lies in defence: 32 tackles, 16 blocks, 33 interceptions and 224 duels contested, winning 127. His 868 passes at 76% accuracy show he is comfortable building from deep, while 12 yellow cards highlight his willingness to step into challenges and break up play.

For Osasuna, Catena plays a similarly pivotal role. The defender has started 34 matches, logging 2,989 minutes, and contributes at both ends with 3 goals and 2 assists. He has attempted 1,673 passes at an excellent 85% accuracy, with 12 key passes, underlining his importance in progressing the ball. Defensively he has 38 tackles, 32 blocks and 33 interceptions, plus 254 duels with 136 won. His 11 yellow cards and 1 red card suggest an aggressive style that could be tested by Getafe’s set-piece and aerial approach.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent head-to-head meetings between Getafe and Osasuna have been finely balanced, with both sides enjoying narrow wins and several tight scorelines. The last five La Liga clashes listed show two victories each and one draw.

• 3 October 2025: Osasuna 2-1 Getafe (La Liga)
• 16 March 2025: Osasuna 1-2 Getafe (La Liga)
• 5 October 2024: Getafe 1-1 Osasuna (La Liga)
• 21 January 2024: Osasuna 3-2 Getafe (La Liga)
• 17 September 2023: Getafe 3-2 Osasuna (La Liga)

Getafe vs Osasuna Prediction

Analysis points to a cagey, low-scoring contest. Getafe’s league form string of “LWDLL” is underwhelming, but they remain difficult to break down, with an average of 1.0 goals conceded per game and 11 clean sheets across the season. Osasuna’s “LLLLW” form reflects a side struggling for stability, particularly away from home, where they have only 2 wins and have failed to score in 11 league matches overall.

Head-to-head results suggest neither team dominates this matchup, but home advantage and Osasuna’s travel issues tilt the balance towards Getafe. Prediction metrics give Getafe a 45% chance of victory, with a 45% probability of a draw and only 10% for an away win, and the recommended angle is “Double chance: Getafe or draw”. The goals projection is firmly under, aligning with both teams’ low scoring averages and Getafe’s preference for tight encounters.

Predicted Score: Getafe 1-0 Osasuna

Getafe League Form

LWDLL

Osasuna League Form

LLLLW

Getafe Possible Starting Lineup

David Soria; D. Dakonam, Domingos Duarte, A. Abqar, Diego Rico; Luis Milla, Mario Martín, Javi Muñoz; V. Birmančević; Borja Mayoral, M. Satriano.

Getafe have consistently favoured back-five and back-four structures, often using a 5-3-2 or 4-4-2 base. With David Soria in goal and a defensive core of D. Dakonam, Domingos Duarte and A. Abqar, they are set up to protect their box and contest aerial duels. Luis Milla should orchestrate midfield, supported by the energy and bite of Mario Martín and Javi Muñoz, while V. Birmančević can provide width and creativity. Up front, Borja Mayoral and M. Satriano offer movement and work rate, fitting a counter-punching, compact tactical shape.

Osasuna Possible Starting Lineup

Sergio Herrera; Juan Cruz, Catena, F. Boyomo, Javi Galán; Moncayola, Lucas Torró; Aimar Oroz, Rubén García, Raul Moro; A. Budimir.

Osasuna have frequently lined up in a 4-2-3-1, and a similar structure is likely here. Sergio Herrera is a strong candidate in goal, with a back line built around Catena’s distribution and aerial strength. Moncayola and Lucas Torró can anchor midfield, combining ball-winning with reliable passing, while Aimar Oroz and Rubén García provide creativity between the lines. Raul Moro offers pace from wide areas, and A. Budimir will lead the line as the focal point, looking to add to his 17-goal haul and punish any lapses in the Getafe defence.

Getafe Team News

No significant absences reported.

Osasuna Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Getafe:

• None reported.

Osasuna:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Getafe vs Osasuna

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Getafe draw no bet. With a 45% home win probability and only 10% allocated to an Osasuna victory, siding with the hosts while covering the draw looks sensible. For a straight home win, Pinnacle offer around 2.60 on Getafe, while other firms such as Bet365 and Unibet sit at 2.50.
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 goals. Getafe average 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, and Osasuna’s away attack is limited to 13 goals in 18 matches. The goal projection points strongly towards a low total, and backing a tight encounter aligns with both teams’ profiles and the under-oriented goal metrics.
• Value Tip: A. Budimir to score anytime (team goals-related market). With 17 goals from 36 appearances and 41 shots on target, Budimir is Osasuna’s clear scoring outlet and a constant set-piece threat. In a match where Osasuna may create fewer chances, his efficiency and penalty duties make him a logical value angle in the goalscorer markets.

How to Watch Getafe vs Osasuna

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.