Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Supra du Quebec welcome Canadian Premier League leaders Forge to CEPSUM Stadium on 5 July 2026 in a classic top-versus-midtable clash. The hosts are trying to stabilise their first campaign at this level, while Forge arrive in Montreal looking to extend a powerful start that has put them firmly in control of the title race.

Supra sit sixth with 11 points from nine matches, having scored 13 and conceded 14. Their form line of LDWDL underlines how inconsistent they have been, especially defensively. Forge, by contrast, have been relentless: nine wins from 11, a goal difference of +12 and just six goals conceded. For fans searching for Supra du Quebec vs Forge prediction angles, this matchup offers a clear favourite but also some intriguing betting opportunities around the draw and low-scoring outcomes.

With Forge already targeting the Canadian Premier League play-offs and Supra battling to stay in the pack, the stakes are significant. The visitors know that another win would tighten their grip on first place, while the hosts will see this as a statement game to prove they can compete with the league’s benchmark side.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Stats

• Supra du Quebec have taken 11 points from 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14 in the Canadian Premier League.
• The only previous meeting this season ended Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec on 13 May 2026 at Tim Hortons Field.
• Forge have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 league fixtures, conceding only 6 goals in that span.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 6 vs 1
• Points: 11 vs 28
• Goals For: 13 vs 18
• Goals Against: 14 vs 6
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 7

The standings paint a clear picture of the gap between these sides. Supra du Quebec, sixth in the Canadian Premier League group, have won 3 of their 9 matches, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their negative goal difference (-1) reflects a team that can score but struggles to control games, especially away from home, where they have conceded 9 in 4 outings.

Forge sit top of the group with 28 points from 11 fixtures, having lost only once. They have been formidable at both ends: 18 goals scored and just 6 conceded, with an unbeaten home record and a strong away return (4 wins from 5). Their defensive record stands out in particular, with 7 clean sheets in league play, underscoring why they are widely viewed as title favourites.

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Key Matchups

Sean Rea vs Brian Wright

Sean Rea has been one of Supra du Quebec’s most influential creative players. In 9 appearances (8 starts), he has 1 goal and 1 assist, supported by 115 completed passes at an 81% accuracy rate and an impressive 10 key passes. His 4 shots (2 on target) and 5 successful dribbles from 5 attempts show he is a central figure in progressing the ball and creating chances between the lines.

For Forge, Brian Wright offers a direct threat up front. Across 10 appearances, he has scored 2 goals, with 7 shots and 2 on target. Though he has started only 6 of those matches, he has still contributed 4 key passes and drawn 6 fouls, showing his ability to both finish and link play. Wright has also converted his only penalty attempt, underlining his composure in front of goal.

This matchup pits Rea’s creative spark against Wright’s penalty-box presence. If Supra can supply Rea in dangerous pockets, he has the vision to unlock Forge’s back line; but if Forge transition quickly, Wright’s movement and physicality could expose Supra’s fragile defence.

Diyaeddine Abzi vs Alessandro Biello

On the disciplinary and defensive side, Diyaeddine Abzi and Alessandro Biello are key figures for Supra. Abzi, a defender, has made 7 appearances (5 starts) with 110 passes at 88% accuracy, 5 tackles and 2 interceptions. However, he has also collected 5 yellow cards, indicating an aggressive style that can both disrupt opponents and put him at risk of suspension.

Biello, a 19-year-old midfielder, has featured in 5 matches (4 starts), completing 42 passes at a superb 92% accuracy with 1 key pass, plus 2 tackles and 4 interceptions. He has 1 yellow card and 1 red card, which highlights both his willingness to engage defensively and the fine line he walks in terms of discipline.

Against a mobile Forge midfield, the balance these two strike between aggression and control will be crucial. If Abzi and Biello mistime challenges, set-pieces and cards could tilt the match further in Forge’s favour.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have only one recent competitive meeting on record, and it went the way of the league leaders. That result will be fresh in the memory for both camps.

• 13 May 2026: Forge 1-0 Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League)

Supra du Quebec vs Forge Prediction

All the underlying metrics point to Forge as clear favourites, but the prediction model still gives a significant role to the draw. Supra’s recent form is mixed and leans negative, with just one win in their last five league outings and no clean sheets in the competition. Their defensive numbers — 14 conceded in 9, including an average of 1.6 per game — suggest they will struggle to keep Forge out for 90 minutes.

Forge, meanwhile, come into this fixture in outstanding shape. Their recent sequence of WWWWL in the standings, combined with 9 wins from 11 overall and a defensive average of just 0.5 goals conceded per match, underlines a side that controls games and rarely gives opponents clear chances. Over their last five, they have scored 10 and conceded 5, showing a healthy balance between attack and defence.

Probability-wise, the prediction model assigns Supra only a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and a Forge win at 45% each. That suggests a tight contest on the scoreboard, with Forge more likely to edge it but the stalemate a very live outcome. Given the defensive solidity of the visitors and Supra’s inconsistency in front of goal, a low-scoring match looks likely.

Predicted Score: Supra du Quebec 0-1 Forge

Supra du Quebec Group Stage Form

LDWDL

Forge Group Stage Form

WWWWL

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK; Defenders: D. Abzi, C. Auguste, A. Sissoko, O. Boughanmi, Alessandro Biello; Midfielders: S. Rea, D. Choinière, S. Mlah; Forwards: [key attackers not listed in available data].

With no official lineup data for Supra, the likely core is built around their known contributors. In defence, Abzi and Auguste provide width and ball progression, while Sissoko and Boughanmi offer work rate and physicality in midfield zones. Biello’s passing accuracy and interceptions suggest a deeper-lying role, helping to shield a back line that has yet to keep a clean sheet. Further forward, Rea is expected to operate as the main playmaker, supported by Choinière and Mlah, both capable of linking midfield to attack. Without a clearly defined striker in the available data, Supra may rely on midfield runners and set-pieces to create chances.

Forge Possible Starting Lineup

GK: D. Bertaud; Defenders: D. Krutzen, M. Jevremović, R. Rama, B. Paton; Midfielders: A. Aromatario, K. Bekker, Molham Babouli; Forwards: T. Borges, N. Ampomah, B. Wright.

Forge have more complete squad information and a clear tactical identity, often using a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3. Bertaud should anchor a defence marshalled by Krutzen and Jevremović, with Rama and Paton offering full-back thrust and defensive solidity. In midfield, Aromatario’s work rate and tackling (11 tackles, 12 interceptions) provide balance, while Bekker and Babouli can dictate tempo. Up front, Borges and Ampomah bring pace and direct running from wide areas, with Wright leading the line as a penalty-box finisher. Paton’s dual role as a defender and creative outlet (1 goal, 1 assist, 4 key passes) gives Forge an extra dimension on set-pieces and overlapping runs.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Forge Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Forge:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Supra du Quebec vs Forge

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back Forge in the double chance (Forge or draw). The prediction model gives Supra only a 10% chance of winning, with Forge and the draw each at 45%. Forge’s record of 9 wins and just 1 loss in 11 league games, alongside 7 clean sheets, strongly supports a conservative angle that opposes the home win. (No odds data available for this market in the current feed.)
• Goals Tip: Under 2.5 total goals. Supra average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Forge concede just 0.5 per game and have seen only 3 of 11 league fixtures go over 2.5 according to their under/over profile. The previous head-to-head finished 1-0 to Forge, and the predicted scoreline here is also 1-0, which reinforces a low-scoring expectation. (No odds data available for this market in the current feed.)
• Value Tip: Sean Rea to register a goal contribution (goal or assist). Rea has 1 goal and 1 assist in 9 appearances, with 10 key passes and strong passing accuracy (81%). If Supra are to break down Forge’s defence, it is likely to come through his creativity. His combination of key passes and shooting output makes him an interesting long-shot prop in player performance markets. (No odds data available for this market in the current feed.)

How to Watch Supra du Quebec vs Forge

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Broadcast rights vary by region; check local listings or the official tournament website for details.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.