New England II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

New England II welcome Philadelphia Union II to Gillette Stadium on 5 July 2026 in an MLS Next Pro Group Stage clash that could further separate the trajectories of two sides heading in opposite directions. The hosts are flying high in the Northeast Division, while the visitors are fighting to stay in touch with the playoff pack.

New England II sit on 31 points after 15 matches, boasting 11 wins and a positive goal difference of +7. Their strong home record at Gillette Stadium has underpinned a promotion push in the Eastern Conference playoff race. Philadelphia Union II, by contrast, have 21 points from 16 games and a -4 goal difference, leaving them lower in both the Northeast Division and Eastern Conference standings.

With New England II vs Philadelphia Union II once again shaping up as a key MLS Next Pro fixture, the statistical trends, recent form and head-to-head record all point to a compelling encounter in Foxborough.

New England II vs Philadelphia Union II Key Stats

• New England II have taken 31 points from 15 matches, winning 11 and drawing none, with 21 goals scored and 14 conceded in the standings.
• Across the last 10 head-to-head meetings in MLS Next Pro, New England II have won 6, Philadelphia Union II have won 4, with no draws in regulation time.
• In 2026 tournament statistics, New England II average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Philadelphia Union II average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

New England II vs Philadelphia Union II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 3 vs 6
• Points: 31 vs 21
• Goals For: 21 vs 17
• Goals Against: 14 vs 21
• Clean Sheets: New England II 5; Philadelphia Union II 2 (tournament statistics)

In the Northeast Division standings, New England II are 3rd with 31 points from 15 matches, powered by 11 victories and a +7 goal difference (21 scored, 14 conceded). Philadelphia Union II are 6th in the same group on 21 points from 16 games, with 7 wins and 9 defeats, and a -4 goal difference (17 scored, 21 conceded). The 10-point gap and superior defensive record underline New England II’s status as the more balanced side.

Looking across the broader Eastern Conference table, New England II are 4th, again on 31 points, while Philadelphia Union II sit 11th with 21 points. That places the hosts firmly in the playoff picture, while the visitors are chasing from behind. New England II’s ability to win without drawing — 11 wins and 4 losses, no draws — suggests a high-risk, high-reward profile that has largely paid off. Philadelphia Union II’s negative goal difference and higher goals-against column point to defensive vulnerabilities, especially away from home.

New England II vs Philadelphia Union II Key Matchups

New England II attack vs Philadelphia Union II defence

Without individual scorer data, the collective numbers tell the story. New England II have scored 24 goals in 15 tournament matches (1.6 per game), with their best attacking outputs coming late in games — a significant share of their goals arrive between minutes 61–90. At home, they average 1.7 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded, and they have failed to score only once all season. Philadelphia Union II concede 1.4 goals per match overall, with a worrying concentration of goals allowed in the final 30 minutes, particularly between minutes 76–90. That late-game fragility aligns directly with New England II’s strong finishing and could be decisive at Gillette Stadium.

Set-piece composure and discipline

New England II have been clinical from the spot in 2026, converting all 3 of their penalties. They also show relatively controlled discipline, with only one red card in the campaign. Philadelphia Union II have yet to win or take a penalty and have been shown 3 red cards, with dismissals coming in the 31–45 and 61–75 minute windows. In a match where New England II are likely to have territory and pressure, the hosts’ penalty proficiency and the visitors’ higher red-card exposure could tilt tight moments in favour of the home side.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These two sides have built a rich recent history in MLS Next Pro, with New England II generally having the upper hand, especially in the most recent clashes. The fixture has produced a mix of tight contests and high-scoring encounters, often with momentum swings.

• 13 May 2026: Philadelphia Union II 0-1 New England II (MLS Next Pro)
• 24 August 2025: Philadelphia Union II 1-3 New England II (MLS Next Pro)
• 26 June 2025: Philadelphia Union II 2-2 New England II (MLS Next Pro, Philadelphia Union II won 7-6 on penalties)
• 9 March 2025: New England II 0-0 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro, New England II won 4-3 on penalties)
• 6 July 2024: New England II 1-2 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro)

New England II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction

Stats suggest New England II enter this fixture as clear favourites. They are stronger in form, attack and defence metrics, and the comparison model gives them a significant overall edge. The prediction model assigns New England II a 45% chance of winning, the draw also at 45%, and Philadelphia Union II at just 10%. That reflects both the hosts’ impressive home record and the visitors’ recent slump, with Philadelphia Union II’s last-five form rated at only 20% and just 3 goals scored across those five matches.

Head-to-head trends back this up: New England II have taken three wins from the last four meetings in regular time, including a 1-0 away victory as recently as 13 May 2026. Philadelphia Union II’s main hope lies in exploiting New England II’s occasional defensive lapses — they have conceded in 10 of 15 matches — but the visitors’ own issues at the back, particularly late in games, make an away upset unlikely. Expect New England II to control territory, create the better chances, and eventually break down a Union II side that has struggled for both goals and clean sheets.

Predicted Score: New England II 2-1 Philadelphia Union II

New England II Recent Form

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Philadelphia Union II Recent Form

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New England II Possible Starting Lineup

JD Gunn; Gabriel Dahlin, Eric Klein, C. Mbai Assem, J. Smith; J. Buck, Puree Updulloh, M. Morgan, C. Zarzalejo; J. Da, S. Sasaki.

New England II have depth across the pitch, with multiple goalkeepers available and a blend of youthful defenders such as Eric Klein and C. Mbai Assem supporting the back line. In midfield, the likes of J. Buck, Puree Updulloh and M. Morgan provide energy and balance, while attackers J. Da and S. Sasaki headline a flexible front line. With no reported absences, the coach can maintain a settled core that has delivered 11 wins from 15 matches and a strong home record.

Philadelphia Union II Possible Starting Lineup

Pierce Holbrook; A. Craig, O. Pratt, G. Sequera, R. Uzcátegui; O. Benitez, M. Berthe, Paco Dadi, K. LeBlanc; Stas Kornzeniowski, Sal Olivas.

Philadelphia Union II’s squad is youthful and dynamic, particularly in midfield and attack, where players like Paco Dadi and K. LeBlanc can offer creativity behind forwards Stas Kornzeniowski and Sal Olivas. At the back, defenders such as A. Craig and O. Pratt will need to be at their best to contain New England II’s late surges. However, the team’s overall defensive record and lack of clean sheets away from home suggest they may struggle to keep the hosts quiet for 90 minutes.

New England II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Philadelphia Union II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

New England II:

• None reported.

Philadelphia Union II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: New England II vs Philadelphia Union II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back New England II in the double chance (home win or draw). The prediction model gives the hosts a 45% chance of victory and the draw another 45%, with Philadelphia Union II at just 10%. New England II’s superior form, stronger defensive numbers and dominant recent head-to-head record justify siding with the hosts not to lose.
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. New England II average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Philadelphia Union II average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded. Only 3 of New England II’s 15 games have gone over 2.5 goals, and they have yet to see a match over 3.5. Recent head-to-heads have included tight scorelines such as 1-0 and 0-0 in regulation, supporting a relatively low-scoring contest.
• Value Tip: New England II to score in the second half. The hosts’ goal distribution shows a significant share of their goals coming between minutes 46–90, while Philadelphia Union II concede heavily in the final 30 minutes. With New England II strong at home and Union II tiring late, backing the hosts to find the net after the break offers value based on tactical patterns and time-window statistics.

How to Watch New England II vs Philadelphia Union II

Broadcast rights vary by region; check local listings or the official tournament website for details.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.