Everton W vs Leicester City WFC: FA WSL Clash Overview

Everton W host Leicester City WFC at Goodison Park in FA WSL Regular Season - 22 in what is effectively a safety-versus-survival clash. Everton sit 8th on 20 points after 21 matches (6-2-13, 24-37), while Leicester are bottom in 12th with 9 points (2-3-16, 11-51) and tagged for the relegation playoffs. Despite Everton’s poor home record (2-0-8, 10-22), Leicester’s away numbers are far worse (0-2-8, 3-31), framing this as a match the hosts are strongly expected to avoid losing.

Form trends over a comparable stretch reinforce the model’s lean. Everton’s league form string is WLLLDLDLLWLLLWWWWLLL, and in the last five they show 40% results form with 7 goals scored (1.4 per match) and 10 conceded (2 per match). That is inconsistent but at least competitive in attack (50% attack index, 29% defence index in the last five). Leicester’s form line LWLLDDLDLLWLLLLLLLLLL has completely collapsed lately: the prediction feed grades their last five as 0% form with just 3 goals for (0.6 per match) and 18 conceded (3.6 per match), plus a 21% attack index and 0% defensive index.

Across the season, Everton’s overall attack is modest but functional: 24 league goals in 21 matches, with an average of 1.2 per game and a slight tilt towards scoring early and late. Their defence is leaky (36 goals conceded in 20 league fixtures in the predictions dataset, 37 in 21 per standings), especially at home where they allow 2.2 per match. Leicester, however, are on another level of vulnerability: only 11 goals scored in 21 games (0.5 per match) and 51 conceded (2.4 per match), including an away average of 3.1 conceded and only 0.3 scored. They have failed to score in 10 league fixtures and have no away wins.

The comparison module is heavily in Everton’s favour: 100% vs 0% on form, 70% vs 30% in attack, 64% vs 36% in defence, and an 81% vs 19% Poisson-based edge. Overall, the total comparison index gives Everton 56.8% to Leicester’s 43.2%, and the predictions engine assigns 45% to a home win, 45% to a draw and just 10% to an away win, backing a “win or draw” outcome for the hosts.

Head-to-Head Data

Head-to-head data, once separated by competition, shows a nuanced picture. In the FA WSL:

On 2025-10-05 at King Power Stadium, Leicester City WFC drew 1-1 at home with Everton W.
On 2025-02-02 at Walton Hall Park, Everton W beat Leicester City WFC 4-1.
On 2024-10-20 at King Power Stadium, Leicester City WFC beat Everton W 1-0.
On 2024-01-28 at Walton Hall Park, Leicester City WFC won 1-0 away to Everton W.
On 2023-10-08 at King Power Stadium, Leicester City WFC beat Everton W 1-0.
On 2023-03-12 at King Power Stadium, Leicester City WFC and Everton W drew 0-0.
On 2022-09-29 at Walton Hall Park, Everton W beat Leicester City WFC 1-0.
On 2022-03-12 at Walton Hall Park, Everton W defeated Leicester City WFC 3-2.
On 2021-11-21 at Pirelli Stadium, Everton W won 1-0 away to Leicester City WFC.

In the WSL Cup, there is one additional tie:

On 2024-01-24 at Pirelli Stadium in the WSL Cup group stage, Leicester City WFC beat Everton W 5-1.

Leicester have enjoyed some strong individual results in this matchup, including several clean-sheet wins and that 5-1 WSL Cup victory, but those came when they were in far better shape than their current 2025 slump. The recent league draw on 2025-10-05 (1-1 at King Power Stadium) suggests Everton are capable of taking something even away, and now they face a Leicester side with catastrophic away defending and no wins on the road.

From a betting perspective, the official prediction data is clear: the advised angle is “Double chance: Everton W or draw,” backed by the 45%-45%-10% probability split and the explicit “win or draw” comment for the hosts. With Leicester’s attack anaemic and their defence collapsing late in games, the model also expects a low Leicester goal output (goals line flagged as under 1.5 for the away side) and under 2.5 for Everton.

Match prediction: Everton W to avoid defeat, with the value-aligned main bet being Double Chance Everton W or Draw, in line with the official advice. A tight home win or a low-scoring draw fits the statistical profile.