Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Colorado Rapids II host North Texas at CIBER Field in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 12 July 2026, in what already looks like a pivotal clash at opposite ends of the Frontier Division. The home side are in deep trouble after a brutal start, while the visitors are trying to stay in touch with the leading pack.

In the Frontier Division standings, Colorado Rapids II sit 7th with just 9 points from 17 matches, having lost 15 of those games and carrying a goal difference of -20. North Texas, by contrast, are 5th with 22 points from 15 matches and a positive goal difference of +6. For Rapids II, this is about survival and pride; for North Texas, it is about consolidating a playoff push and proving their recent away inconsistency can be corrected.

The head-to-head history between Colorado Rapids II and North Texas in MLS Next Pro has produced plenty of goals and drama, including penalty shootouts and high-scoring encounters at both CIBER Field and Choctaw Stadium. With both sides showing attacking intent but very different defensive levels so far in 2026, this matchup has all the ingredients to be one of the more intriguing Group Stage fixtures on the calendar.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Stats

• Colorado Rapids II have taken just 9 points from 17 matches (2 wins, 15 losses, 0 draws) in the Frontier Division, scoring 15 and conceding 35.
• North Texas beat Colorado Rapids II 3-1 at Choctaw Stadium on 8 March 2026 in their most recent meeting.
• In 2026 MLS Next Pro statistics, Colorado Rapids II concede an average of 2.3 goals per match (39 in 17), while North Texas score an average of 1.9 goals per match (28 in 15).

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 7 vs 5 (Frontier Division)
• Points: 9 vs 22
• Goals For: 15 vs 26
• Goals Against: 35 vs 20
• Clean Sheets: Colorado Rapids II 1; North Texas 2 (2026 MLS Next Pro statistics)

Standings underline just how far apart these two sides have been in 2026. Colorado Rapids II have collected only 2 wins from 17 matches, with a goal difference of -20 and no draws, suggesting that when they lose, they often lose heavily. Their attack has produced 15 goals, but the defense has leaked 35, the equivalent of 2.1 goals conceded per game based on standings, and 2.3 per match in broader team statistics.

North Texas, meanwhile, have been inconsistent but clearly more competitive: 7 wins and 8 losses from 15 matches, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded in the Frontier Division table. Their statistical profile is that of a side that can both score freely and keep things relatively tight, especially compared to Colorado Rapids II. With two fewer matches played and 13 more points, they are in a far stronger position heading into this Group Stage fixture.

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Key Matchups

Colorado Rapids II attack vs North Texas defense

Colorado Rapids II’s attack has struggled all season, averaging just 0.9 goals per match across 17 fixtures in 2026. They have failed to score in 5 of those games and have only one clean sheet, which forces their forwards to chase matches from behind. Their biggest wins have been narrow — 1-0 at home and 1-2 away — underlining that they rarely blow teams away.

North Texas, by contrast, concede 1.5 goals per match overall (23 in 15) and have kept 2 clean sheets. Their heaviest defeats are by two-goal margins (0-2 at home, 2-0 away), suggesting a defense that rarely collapses. For Colorado Rapids II to get anything here, their attackers will need to be far more clinical than their season-long numbers suggest, especially against a unit that has shown it can manage games when ahead.

North Texas attack vs Colorado Rapids II defense

North Texas’s frontline is the clear strength of their side. They average 1.9 goals per match overall and a prolific 2.7 goals per game at home, while still managing 1.3 per game away. Their biggest wins include a 5-1 home victory and a 1-4 away result, highlighting their ability to score in bursts.

That attacking power comes up against one of the leakiest defenses in MLS Next Pro this season. Colorado Rapids II concede 2.3 goals per match in 2026 team statistics and have allowed 39 goals in 17 games. Their heaviest home defeat is 1-4, and they have conceded at least two goals in the majority of fixtures. If North Texas play with their usual attacking intent, they are well placed to exploit a back line that has struggled with both structure and discipline, as reflected by multiple red cards across different time ranges.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

The recent history between Colorado Rapids II and North Texas in MLS Next Pro has been remarkably open, with goals in almost every encounter and two penalty shootouts. Home advantage has not always been decisive, and both teams have enjoyed big wins on the road.

• 8 March 2026: North Texas 3-1 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 3 August 2025: North Texas 1-4 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 19 June 2025: Colorado Rapids II 1-1 North Texas (MLS Next Pro, North Texas won 4-2 on penalties)
• 21 April 2025: North Texas 2-3 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro)
• 2 September 2024: North Texas 2-2 Colorado Rapids II (MLS Next Pro, North Texas won 5-4 on penalties)

Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas Prediction

Everything about the current season points to North Texas having the upper hand. They are higher in the Frontier Division standings, have a positive goal difference, and boast a far better balance between attack and defense. Colorado Rapids II, by contrast, are in freefall with 15 defeats from 17 matches and one of the worst defensive records in the competition.

Probability indicators for this match are unusually split between away win and draw: North Texas are given a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45%, and Colorado Rapids II just 10%. That suggests the market and predictive models see a strong likelihood that Colorado Rapids II avoid winning, but leave the door open for a stalemate if North Texas fail to convert their chances.

Given North Texas’s attacking averages and Colorado Rapids II’s defensive frailty, an away win remains the more logical outcome. However, the relatively high draw probability and the history of close, high-scoring games suggest this could be tighter than the standings alone imply, especially if Rapids II manage to score first at CIBER Field.

Predicted Score: Colorado Rapids II 1-2 North Texas

Colorado Rapids II Recent Form

Colorado Rapids II’s recent form has been extremely poor. In the Frontier Division table they have 2 wins and 15 losses from 17 matches, with no draws, and a goal difference of -20. Their broader 2026 form string reflects long losing streaks, including a run of 13 consecutive defeats at one stage. They average just under one goal scored per match and more than two conceded, which has left them anchored near the bottom of the standings.

North Texas Recent Form

North Texas have been inconsistent but competitive. In the Frontier Division they have 7 wins and 8 losses from 15 matches, with no draws. Their overall 2026 form shows short winning streaks of up to three games, balanced by similar losing runs. With 26 goals scored and 20 conceded in the division, and 28 scored and 23 conceded in broader statistics, they tend to be involved in relatively open matches but usually find enough cutting edge to stay in the playoff conversation.

Colorado Rapids II Possible Starting Lineup

With no confirmed lineups available, a projected selection for Colorado Rapids II would be built around their current squad options:

Goalkeepers: Zackory Campagnolo; K. Starks; D. Williams
Defenders: J. Cameron, J. Chan Tack, J. De Coteau, A. Erickson, G. Gilmore, C. Harper, E. Heredia, I. Murphy, J. Pomeroy, V. Rinaldi, K. Sawadogo, K. Thomas
Midfielders: C. Aquino, Q. Bedwell, J. De La Fuente, A. Fadal, L. Garcia, R. Garcia, Noah Strellnauer, L. Strohmeyer, N. Tchoumba, S. Wathuta
Forwards: J. Copeland, M. Diop, A. Harris, B. Jamison, D. Phillip, K. Stewart-Baynes

Rapids II have a very young squad, with several teenagers across the back line and midfield. That inexperience has shown in their defensive record, but it also offers energy and pressing potential if they can organize effectively. Expect them to line up with a back four protecting a crowded midfield, trying to limit space for North Texas’s forwards while relying on pace from attackers like B. Jamison or K. Stewart-Baynes on the break.

North Texas Possible Starting Lineup

North Texas also have a youthful but deeper roster, especially in defense and midfield:

Goalkeepers: T. Burchfield, E. Dymora, A. Jordan, N. Montoya, B. Thompson
Defenders: Alvaro Augusto, J. Biggar, D. Easterly, J. Gibson, Leandro, Z. Molomo, Enzo Newman, Slade Starnes, Joshua Torquato, L. Vejrostek, C. Wygant
Midfielders: F. Aroyameh, I. Charles, D. García, N. James, M. Luccin, T. Ospina, Umberto Pela, C. Swann
Forwards: D. Baran, J. Contreras, B. Flowers, Ricky Louis, E. Nys, C. Salazar, S. Sedeh, Nicholas Simmonds

North Texas have the flexibility to switch between a back four and back three, with several versatile defenders and midfielders. Their attacking options are varied, with multiple forwards who can play wide or centrally. Given their strong scoring record, expect an aggressive setup with at least three attack-minded players, looking to stretch Colorado Rapids II’s fragile defense and exploit transitions.

Colorado Rapids II Team News

No significant absences reported.

North Texas Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Colorado Rapids II:

• None reported.

North Texas:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Colorado Rapids II vs North Texas

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles, based on current statistics and win probabilities:

• Result Tip: North Texas Draw No Bet. With North Texas given a 45% chance of winning and Colorado Rapids II only 10%, the visitors are clear favourites on underlying probabilities. However, the draw is also rated at 45%, so taking North Texas with draw protection looks safer than an outright away win. (No odds data available to quote specific prices.)
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 total goals. Colorado Rapids II concede 2.3 goals per match and score 0.9, while North Texas average 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded. Recent head-to-head meetings have produced scorelines like 3-1, 4-1, 3-3 and 4-2, all comfortably over this line, suggesting another open, high-scoring encounter is likely.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. Despite their poor results, Colorado Rapids II have scored in several recent clashes with North Texas, including 3-1, 4-1, 3-3, 4-2 and 2-2 outcomes. North Texas’s attack is strong, but their defense is not impenetrable, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Combining those trends makes BTTS an appealing value angle.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.