Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Prediction: Preview and Key Stats

Philadelphia Union II welcome Atlanta United II to Subaru Park in MLS Next Pro Group Stage action on 23 May 2026, with both sides looking to strengthen their positions in a tightly packed Eastern picture. The match in Chester, Pennsylvania, pitches a Union II side searching for consistency against one of the early pace-setters in the conference.

In the Eastern Conference standings, Philadelphia Union II sit on 15 points from 10 matches, while Atlanta United II have collected 19 points from the same number of games and occupy a play-off position. That four-point gap underlines the stakes: a home win would drag Union II right back into the mix, while an away victory would create clear daylight and reinforce Atlanta II’s push in the MLS Next Pro play-off race.

Recent form and historical trends make this one of the more intriguing MLS Next Pro fixtures this week. Atlanta United II arrive with strong attacking numbers and superior recent league form, but Philadelphia Union II have dominated this matchup at Subaru Park in recent seasons, making this a compelling clash of current momentum versus historical H2H dominance.

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Key Stats

• Philadelphia Union II have taken 15 points from 10 league matches, winning 5 and losing 5 with 12 goals scored and 10 conceded.
• At Subaru Park in MLS Next Pro, Philadelphia Union II have beaten Atlanta United II in their last three meetings: 5-1 on 10 April 2025, 2-1 on 29 September 2024, and 1-0 on 9 June 2023.
• Atlanta United II are averaging 2.0 goals per game this season, with 20 goals scored across 10 fixtures.

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 9 vs 4
• Points: 15 vs 19
• Goals For: 12 vs 20
• Goals Against: 10 vs 13
• Clean Sheets: Philadelphia Union II 2; Atlanta United II 2

In the Eastern Conference table, Philadelphia Union II are ranked 9th with 15 points and a goal difference of +2 after 10 matches (12 scored, 10 conceded). They have been all-or-nothing so far: 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats, reflecting a side capable of putting together short winning streaks but equally prone to setbacks. Their home record in 2026 reads 3 wins and 4 losses from 7, with 9 goals scored and 7 conceded at Subaru Park.

Atlanta United II, by contrast, sit 4th in the Eastern Conference with 19 points and a goal difference of +7 (20 scored, 13 conceded) from their 10 outings. That position currently places them in the “Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)” zone, underlining their status as genuine play-off contenders. They have been strong on the road as well, winning 4 and losing 3 of their 7 away matches, with 14 goals scored and 9 conceded away from home.

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Key Matchups

Attacking Units vs Defences

With no individual top scorers or assist leaders listed, the focus shifts to collective units. Philadelphia Union II average 1.3 goals per match, both home and away, while conceding 1.1 on average. Atlanta United II’s attack is more explosive, hitting 2.0 goals per game, but their defence concedes 1.4 on average. The battle between Union II’s more controlled, lower-scoring style and Atlanta II’s higher-risk, higher-reward approach will be central to how this contest unfolds.

Late-Game Resilience

Time-split goal data highlights contrasting late-game tendencies. Philadelphia Union II concede heavily between minutes 76-90, with 44.44% of their goals against coming in that window, while Atlanta United II score 25% of their goals in the same period. If the match is level or close heading into the final quarter of an hour, Atlanta II’s late scoring threat against Union II’s vulnerability could be decisive.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This fixture has a rich recent history across MLS Next Pro and the USL Championship. In MLS Next Pro specifically, Philadelphia Union II have enjoyed the upper hand in recent seasons, particularly at Subaru Park. Across the last five MLS Next Pro meetings listed below, Union II lead with three wins to Atlanta II’s two.

• 10 April 2025: Philadelphia Union II 5-1 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro)
• 29 September 2024: Philadelphia Union II 2-1 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro)
• 15 April 2024: Atlanta United II 0-5 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro)
• 9 June 2023: Philadelphia Union II 1-0 Atlanta United II (MLS Next Pro)
• 30 April 2023: Atlanta United II 1-0 Philadelphia Union II (MLS Next Pro)

Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II Prediction

Form and underlying numbers tilt this matchup slightly towards Atlanta United II. They come in with an 80% form rating over their last five, scoring 13 and conceding just 5 in that span, while Philadelphia Union II’s last five show a 20% form rating with only 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. Atlanta II’s attack has been consistently potent, averaging 2.0 goals per game this season, and their away record of 4 wins from 7 is strong.

However, the head-to-head record at Subaru Park strongly favours Philadelphia Union II, who have won their last three MLS Next Pro home meetings against Atlanta II, scoring 8 and conceding just 2 across those matches. Union II also keep clean sheets in 2 of their 10 league games, matching Atlanta II’s total of 2, suggesting neither side is watertight but both can be disciplined on their day.

Prediction metrics give Atlanta United II a 45% chance of victory, with a 45% probability of a draw and only 10% for a home win. That points to the visitors having the edge, but with a significant possibility that the match ends level. Given Atlanta II’s attacking strength and Union II’s strong home H2H record, a tight, competitive encounter is likely rather than a repeat of the heavy 5-1 or 5-0 scorelines seen in 2025 and 2024.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union II 1-2 Atlanta United II

Philadelphia Union II League Form

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Atlanta United II League Form

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Philadelphia Union II Possible Starting Lineup

Holbrook; Craig, Griffin, Harrington, Moore; Benitez, Berthe, Paco Dadi, De Paula; Edward Davis, Stas Kornzeniowski

Union II’s squad is heavily youth-oriented, with multiple teenagers across the defensive and attacking lines. Goalkeeper Pierce Holbrook offers experience at the back, while defenders such as A. Craig, J. Griffin, L. Harrington and K. Moore provide athleticism. In midfield, O. Benitez and M. Berthe could anchor the side, with creative support from Paco Dadi and M. De Paula. Up front, attackers like Edward Davis and Stas Kornzeniowski give Union II options to press high and break quickly, which will be crucial against an Atlanta II side that commits numbers forward.

Atlanta United II Possible Starting Lineup

Clarson; Chica, Cisset, Senanou, Majub; Fortune, Adrian Gill, L. Brennan; Liam Butts, C. Dunbar, M. Tablante

Atlanta United II’s likely XI blends experience and youth, particularly in attack. At the back, defenders such as D. Chica, Mohamed Cisset, M. Senanou and T. B. Majub can form a robust line in front of goalkeeper R. Clarson. The midfield unit could revolve around A. Fortune, Adrian Gill and L. Brennan, providing balance between ball progression and defensive cover. In the final third, attackers like Liam Butts, C. Dunbar and M. Tablante give Atlanta II the firepower that underpins their 2.0 goals-per-game average and makes them one of the more dangerous forward lines in MLS Next Pro.

Philadelphia Union II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Atlanta United II Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Philadelphia Union II:

• None reported.

Atlanta United II:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Atlanta United II Draw No Bet. With a 45% away win probability and only 10% for a home win, plus Atlanta II’s stronger league form and superior goal difference, siding with the visitors while covering the draw looks the most logical result angle. (No odds data available.)
• Goals Tip: Over 2.5 goals. Atlanta United II average 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, while Philadelphia Union II average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded. Recent H2H meetings in MLS Next Pro at Subaru Park have produced scorelines of 5-1 and 2-1, suggesting a good chance of a relatively high-scoring contest. (No odds data available.)
• Value Tip: Atlanta United II to score in both halves. Atlanta II’s goal distribution shows they score consistently across the match, with notable output between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes and 25% of goals in the final 15 minutes, while Union II concede heavily late on. That pattern offers value in backing the visitors to find the net in each half. (No odds data available.)

How to Watch Philadelphia Union II vs Atlanta United II

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.