HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

HFX Wanderers FC welcome Supra du Quebec to Wanderers Grounds on 24 July 2026 in a Canadian Premier League Group Stage clash that already feels important in the battle for mid-table stability and a potential push up the standings. With both sides conceding more than they score so far, this fixture looks primed for attacking football and defensive frailties on show.

The hosts sit 5th with 16 points from 14 matches, trying to turn an inconsistent campaign into a sustained run towards the upper half. Supra du Quebec, 7th with 11 points from 11 games, are under pressure to close that five-point gap on a direct rival while having three games in hand. Recent Canadian Premier League form and the April meeting between these sides suggest a tight, high-stakes contest rather than a straightforward home win.

Stats suggest a relatively even matchup: HFX Wanderers FC average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, while Supra du Quebec sit at 1.4 for and 1.9 against. With both teams regularly involved in games with goals at both ends, this HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec prediction leans towards a competitive, open encounter where small margins and key individuals could decide it.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Stats

• HFX Wanderers FC are 5th with 16 points from 14 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 21 in the Canadian Premier League standings.
• The only previous meeting this season on 24 April 2026 ended Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC at CEPSUM Stadium.
• Season statistics show HFX Wanderers FC have kept 2 clean sheets, while Supra du Quebec are still without a clean sheet in 11 league fixtures.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 7
• Points: 16 vs 11
• Goals For: 18 vs 15
• Goals Against: 21 vs 21
• Clean Sheets: HFX Wanderers FC 2; Supra du Quebec 0

In the table, HFX Wanderers FC have a slight edge: more games played (14 vs 11), more points (16 vs 11) and a marginally better goal difference profile relative to matches played. Their 18 goals scored and 21 conceded underline a side that is competitive but vulnerable, reflected in a mixed record of 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats.

Supra du Quebec, meanwhile, have played fewer games but are tracking similarly in terms of goals: 15 scored and 21 conceded from 11 outings. Their away numbers are intriguing: 7 goals scored and 9 conceded in 4 away matches, averaging 1.8 for and 2.3 against. Combined with zero clean sheets across the campaign, they tend to be involved in open, high-event matches. The standings context suggests HFX Wanderers FC need to make home advantage count, while Supra du Quebec will see this as a chance to close the gap with games in hand.

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Key Matchups

I. Johnston vs S. Rea

Isaiah Johnston is one of HFX Wanderers FC’s most influential midfielders. Across 13 appearances and 13 starts, he has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 585 minutes, with 9 shots (8 on target) and 168 passes at 77% accuracy. His 8 key passes and 20 dribble attempts (11 successful) highlight his ability to progress the ball and create chances between the lines, while 9 tackles and 9 interceptions show he also contributes out of possession.

For Supra du Quebec, Sean Rea is a creative hub. In 11 appearances (10 starts) and 299 minutes, he has 1 goal and 1 assist, but his 152 passes at 82% accuracy and 15 key passes stand out. With 11 dribble attempts and 5 successes, plus 6 fouls drawn, he is a player who can carry the ball and win dangerous free-kicks. The duel between Johnston’s box-to-box influence and Rea’s playmaking will be central to who controls midfield territory and chance creation.

L. Callegari vs C. Auguste

Lorenzo Giuseppe Callegari has been a standout for HFX Wanderers FC. In 12 starts and 540 minutes, he has 2 goals, 467 completed passes at an impressive 87% accuracy and 9 key passes. Defensively, he adds 13 tackles, 2 blocks and 12 interceptions, underlining his role as a deep-lying midfielder who dictates tempo and screens the back line. His 4 yellow cards also hint at his willingness to break up opposition moves.

On the opposite side, defender Charles Auguste is a key figure for Supra du Quebec. With 11 appearances and 11 starts, he has 243 passes at 86% accuracy and 4 key passes, suggesting composure in possession from the back. Defensively, he has 11 tackles and 9 interceptions, plus 6 fouls committed and 2 yellow cards, reflecting an aggressive style. How Auguste deals with HFX’s midfield progression led by Callegari, and how he initiates build-up from the back, will shape Supra du Quebec’s ability to play through the press.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

These sides have met once in the current Canadian Premier League season, with Supra du Quebec taking the early bragging rights in Quebec.

• 24 April 2026: Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League)

HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec Prediction

Recent numbers point to a finely balanced contest. The prediction model gives HFX Wanderers FC a 35% chance of victory, the draw also at 35%, and Supra du Quebec at 30%. That aligns with the “win or draw” tilt towards the home side but recognises how fragile both teams can be. HFX Wanderers FC’s last-five form index (47 in the form metric, with 9 goals for and 8 against in that span) is stronger than Supra du Quebec’s (form index 27, 9 scored and 14 conceded), and the comparison block favours the hosts in form (64 vs 36) and defence (64 vs 36), while attack is rated evenly.

At the same time, Supra du Quebec won the only head-to-head 2-1 in April and have shown they can hurt HFX Wanderers FC, especially in the second half where both teams concede a significant share of their goals. HFX’s home scoring average of 1.8 goals per game and Supra’s away average of 1.8 suggest both sides should find the net. With predictions.goals using threshold markers rather than a clear scoreline, a conservative view based on the probabilities and recent form is a narrow home edge but with Supra du Quebec capable of responding.

Predicted Score: HFX Wanderers FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec

HFX Wanderers FC Recent Form

In league play, HFX Wanderers FC’s recent form string reads DWLWL, reflecting a stop-start pattern. Across 14 matches, they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded. Their tournament statistics show they score 1.3 goals per game and concede 1.5, with only 2 clean sheets but also failing to score in just 3 matches. At home, they are more potent, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in 6 fixtures, underlining their tendency towards open, high-scoring games at Wanderers Grounds.

Supra du Quebec Recent Form

Supra du Quebec’s form line of LLLDW in the standings underlines their inconsistency and recent struggles. They have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11 games, with 15 goals scored and 21 conceded. Their overall averages of 1.4 goals for and 1.9 against per match show a team that can create but is regularly undone at the back. Away from home, they score 1.8 and concede 2.3 per game over 4 fixtures, with no clean sheets all season, reinforcing the expectation of goals in both directions.

HFX Wanderers FC Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Carducci; Defenders: Jefferson Alphonse, T. Meilleur-Giguère, Kareem Sow; Midfielders: L. Callegari, M. Godinho, I. Johnston, Miguel Arilla, A. Rampersad; Forwards: T. Ciccarelli, Y. Baï.

HFX Wanderers FC have a deep midfield core built around Callegari, Johnston, Godinho and Arilla, all of whom feature prominently in league statistics. With multiple formations used this season (3-5-2, 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1), they are tactically flexible, able to overload midfield or push wide attackers like Y. Baï and Tavio Ciccarelli higher. Their penalty record (4 scored from 4) adds another threat in tight games. Defensively, they have options across the back line but must cut out lapses, especially in the 16–30 and 46–60 minute windows where a significant share of goals against have arrived.

Supra du Quebec Possible Starting Lineup

GK: [not specified]; Defenders: C. Auguste, D. Abzi; Midfielders: S. Rea, Alessandro Biello, R. Bey, O. Boughanmi; Forwards: [other attackers not listed].

With no full squad list provided, the likely core for Supra du Quebec revolves around defender Charles Auguste and wide defender Diyaeddine Abzi, plus creative midfielder Sean Rea and energetic midfielders such as Alessandro Biello and R. Bey. Their lack of clean sheets and high goals-against average suggest a side that commits numbers forward and leaves space at the back. Discipline is a concern: Biello and Bey both have red cards in their record, and the team shows a heavy concentration of yellow and red cards in the final quarter of matches, which could be decisive in a tight contest.

HFX Wanderers FC Team News

No significant absences reported.

Supra du Quebec Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

HFX Wanderers FC:

• None reported.

Supra du Quebec:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec

[Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:]

• Result Tip: Back HFX Wanderers FC Draw No Bet. The prediction probabilities are very tight (35% home win, 35% draw, 30% away), but HFX Wanderers FC have stronger recent form metrics and home scoring numbers. With no pre-match odds available, this is a strategy-based angle rather than a price-led play.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average more than 1.3 goals scored per game and concede heavily (1.5 and 1.9 per match respectively). Supra du Quebec have yet to keep a clean sheet in 11 games, and the previous head-to-head finished 2-1, supporting a goals-based approach.
• Value Tip: Both Teams to Score. HFX Wanderers FC have failed to score in only 3 of 14 matches, and Supra du Quebec in 3 of 11, while neither defence is reliable. Creative players like Johnston, Callegari and Ciccarelli for HFX, plus Rea for Supra du Quebec, increase the likelihood of chances at both ends.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.